La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-04-25 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Predicción 22.01%4.54momio equitativo
EV +1.70%
Ventaja +0.368%
Kelly +0.470%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.69%21.97%22.10%23.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.314.304.6225.00%23.20%23.26%21.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 77.99%1.28momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -13.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%78.03%77.90%79.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2484.75%81.93%81.97%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet4.62I 21.65%NM 21.16%EV +1.70%E +0.368%K +0.470%G +0.008%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.84%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 03:30
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.26%E +0.274%K +0.350%G +0.004%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.64%E -4.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 14:20
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.26%E +0.274%K +0.350%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.42%E -5.35%K -32.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:34
SportsBet4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.159%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:30
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.941%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 19:29
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.941%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 02:30
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.941%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:39
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.941%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 19:29
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.941%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.64%E -4.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 02:50
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.941%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.42%E -5.35%K -32.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.941%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.42%E -5.35%K -32.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:39
BetAnything4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.04%E -0.459%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:55
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 02:54
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 11:00
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 10:59
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 11:00
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 19:35
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.42%E -5.35%K -32.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:54
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.42%E -5.35%K -32.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:55
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.42%E -5.35%K -32.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:34
Caesars4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -4.24%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 19:33
GTbets4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -4.24%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 02:54
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.24%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:34
Betclic (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.24%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.64%E -4.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:42
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 02:54
Pinnacle4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -4.68%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 00:45
Unibet (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:44
ReBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:45
Betway4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:44
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:34
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:35
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:44
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Fanatics4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.44%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 18:34
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.44%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.44%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:59
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.44%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:59
Bally Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.44%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:00
MyBookie.ag4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%EV -6.88%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.47%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:48
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 20:29
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:20
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:20
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:19
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.08%E -3.31%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:53
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:54
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:44
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 19:35
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.55%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:19
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:30
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.64%E -4.66%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:45
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.42%E -5.35%K -32.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:00
BoyleSports4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.42%E -5.35%K -32.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 14:44
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:34
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:34
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.42%E -5.35%K -32.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 00:44
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59%0.1%2026-04-23 17:45
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-04-23 22:25
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-04-23 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-04-23 20:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-04-23 17:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-04-23 20:25
ProphetX4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-04-24 02:55
Novig4.39I 22.78%NM 22.30%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.70%2.1%2026-04-24 03:40