La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia 76ers v Portland Trail Blazers

Inicio: 2026-03-15 22:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Predicción 25.83%3.87momio equitativo
EV +3.31%
Ventaja +0.827%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.85%25.75%27.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.703.704.0029.41%27.00%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 74.17%1.35momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -4.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.34%74.15%74.25%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.291.3380.65%77.91%77.52%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.31%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.036%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.28%E -5.83%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:59
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-15 21:50
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 22:00
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 22:05
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 22:05
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.724%E +0.186%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.80%E -4.57%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 22:05
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 21:50
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 21:50
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 21:50
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 21:50
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 18:55
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.28%E -5.83%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.86%E -0.489%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.28%E -5.83%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 22:00
Pinnacle3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%EV -2.63%E -0.699%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%EV -2.83%E -2.16%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 22:05
Parions Sport (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 21:45
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 18:35
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 18:30
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 22:00
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 21:50
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 20:49
Dabble (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 22:00
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 22:05
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.15%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.28%E -5.83%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 22:00
LowVig.ag3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -3.41%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.21%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 20:50
1xBet3.72I 26.88%NM 26.34%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.66%EV -1.35%E -1.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-15 21:50
BetUS3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 21:40
MyBookie.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 12:10
TAB3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 17:25
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 20:50
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 13:09
GTbets3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 13:10
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 21:50
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 21:50
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 21:50
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 21:50
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 19:10
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 21:50
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 21:50
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.06%E -3.95%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 21:50
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.28%E -5.83%K -29.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.28%E -5.83%K -29.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 22:05
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 22:00
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.73%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 19:05
BetAnything3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.73%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.73%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.80%E -4.57%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 21:50
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.73%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 22:05
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -5.99%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 21:50
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 21:55
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 21:30
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 21:04
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 21:35
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 22:00
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 22:00
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.28%E -5.83%K -29.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 21:50
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.28%E -5.83%K -29.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 22:00
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 13:10
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 12:10
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 12:10
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.61%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.32%E -3.35%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 22:05
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -7.28%E -5.83%K -29.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 22:04
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.57%E -2.75%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 22:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly4.14I 24.15%NM 24.18%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.82%-0.1%2026-03-15 21:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-03-15 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-03-15 21:40
Novig3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%0.7%2026-03-15 22:05
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-03-15 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-03-15 22:05
Polymarket3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-03-15 21:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-03-15 22:05
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-03-15 21:55
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%2.1%2026-03-15 22:05