La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia 76ers v Orlando Magic

Inicio: 2026-04-15 23:45 UTC

Final: Philadelphia 76ers 109–97 Orlando Magic

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Predicción 51.38%1.95momio equitativo
EV -0.840%
Ventaja -0.435%
Kelly -0.903%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.60%51.38%51.35%53.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.841.851.9357.80%54.33%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Predicción 48.62%2.06momio equitativo
EV +1.13%
Ventaja +0.545%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.60%48.62%48.65%50.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.971.962.0853.48%50.71%51.02%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -4.95%E -2.68%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV +1.13%E +0.545%K +1.05%G +0.012%2.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -0.812%E -0.398%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -0.812%E -0.398%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:50
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -0.812%E -0.398%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:54
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -0.812%E -0.398%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:54
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.812%E -0.398%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:39
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.812%E -0.398%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:39
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.78%E -0.883%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:39
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.78%E -0.883%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:39
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.78%E -0.883%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:39
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.78%E -0.883%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:54
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.78%E -0.883%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.44%E -2.39%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 23:29
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.95%E -2.68%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:04
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.95%E -2.68%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 21:49
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.95%E -2.68%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:30
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.95%E -2.68%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 22:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:49
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:05
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.01%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 22:50
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.01%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.01%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 22:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 01:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 01:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 01:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 02:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 23:25
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.840%E -0.435%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.73%E -1.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.95%E -2.68%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.22%E -2.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:23
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 23:34
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 23:24
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.41%E -1.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 23:34
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 23:29
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.38%E -1.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 23:34
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:14
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:14
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:39
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:10
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 22:28
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:14
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:30
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:15
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.95%E -2.68%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 23:09
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 23:29
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.06%E -5.12%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.41%E -1.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 23:24
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:29
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -11.12%E -6.43%K -15.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 22:54
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.87%E -0.978%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 23:38
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.87%E -0.978%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 23:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.95%E -2.68%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 23:24
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.95%E -2.68%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 23:24
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 23:34
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -7.01%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:19
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 23:34
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 23:18
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -9.57%E -5.44%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 23:33
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.38%E -1.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.08%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 23:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-04-15 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-15 23:39
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-04-15 23:39
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 23:38
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-15 23:39
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-15 23:39
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.3%2026-04-15 23:29
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-04-15 23:39
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-04-15 23:39