La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia 76ers v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-04-03 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Predicción 59.58%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.505%
Ventaja -0.303%
Kelly -0.754%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.93%59.54%59.45%61.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.30%62.11%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 40.42%2.47momio equitativo
EV -0.965%
Ventaja -0.394%
Kelly -0.666%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.75%40.46%40.55%42.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.49%42.55%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.505%E -0.303%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 23:09
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.70%E -1.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 23:08
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.70%E -1.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 23:09
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:10
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:10
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.82%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:09
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.89%E -1.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.22%E -2.68%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 23:10
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.89%E -1.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.22%E -2.68%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 23:10
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.89%E -1.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.22%E -2.68%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 23:10
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.89%E -1.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.22%E -2.68%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 23:10
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.77%E -0.730%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.18%E -0.900%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 23:10
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 23:08
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.79%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 23:09
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 23:10
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 22:59
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.60%E -1.95%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:10
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:09
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:09
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:10
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 23:09
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 23:10
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.965%E -0.394%K -0.666%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 23:10
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 23:09
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 23:09
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 23:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 23:09
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:59
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 23:03
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.18%E -0.900%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 23:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 23:09
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 23:09
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.965%E -0.394%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 23:09
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -1.77%E -0.730%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 22:59
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 23:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.79%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.79%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 23:09
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 23:10
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 23:10
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.18%E -0.900%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 23:09
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.18%E -0.900%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 23:09
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.965%E -0.394%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 23:09
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 23:01
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 23:08
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.07%E -5.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-04-03 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-04-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-04-03 23:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-04-03 23:10
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-04-03 23:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-04-03 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-03 23:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-03 23:10
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-04-03 23:10