Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia 76ers v Detroit Pistons

2026-10-25 23:40 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Predicción 56.12%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -3.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.15%56.25%56.12%58.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.691.701.7463.29%59.28%58.82%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 43.88%2.28momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.774%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.56%43.75%43.88%44.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.3250.00%46.22%46.51%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 56.12%; Detroit Pistons (Visitante): 43.88%. Para Detroit Pistons (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.28. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.32, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.79%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV +1.79%E +0.774%K +1.36%G +0.024%3.7%2026-10-25 04:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.917%E +0.399%K +0.706%G +0.006%4.1%2026-10-25 03:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.917%E +0.399%K +0.706%G +0.006%4.5%2026-10-25 04:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.28%E -0.567%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-25 04:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.72%E -0.766%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 04:30
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.72%E -0.766%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 05:00
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.15%E -0.966%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-25 05:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 04:30
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 04:06
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 04:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 03:19
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-25 04:00
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 04:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 04:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 04:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 03:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 04:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 04:06
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 04:30
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 04:06
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.35%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 04:35
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 03:40
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 03:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 03:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 03:40
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 03:40
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 03:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-25 03:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 03:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 03:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 04:59
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 03:15
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 03:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 03:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 03:15
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 03:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 03:40
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 03:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 03:40
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 05:00
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 03:50
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 03:20
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 03:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 04:40
picklebet_au🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 04:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 03:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 03:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 04:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 05:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 05:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 04:38
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 04:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -9.17%E -4.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.61%E -4.67%K -9.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 03:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.64%E -5.99%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 04:35
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.81%EV -11.37%E -5.63%K -11.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-25 04:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -11.33%E -7.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.25%E -6.12%K -12.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-25 04:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-10-25 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-10-25 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-10-25 04:50
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-25 04:50
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-10-25 04:50
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-10-25 04:50
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-10-25 04:45
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%5.6%2026-10-25 04:06