Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Orlando Magic v Washington Wizards

2026-11-03 00:40 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

55%

45%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 55.09%1.82momio equitativo

EV -2.49%

Ventaja -1.41%

Kelly -3.24%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

53.42%55.33%54.97%57.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.571.701.711.7763.69%58.68%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Wizards (Visitante)

Predicción 44.91%2.23momio equitativo

EV +1.50%

Ventaja +0.663%

Kelly +1.19%

Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

42.32%44.67%45.03%46.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.882.142.142.2653.19%46.78%46.73%44.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Orlando Magic (Local): 55.09%; Washington Wizards (Visitante): 44.91%. Para Washington Wizards (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.23. 14 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.26, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.50%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV +1.50%E +0.663%K +1.19%G +0.018%	3.1%	2026-11-02 01:45
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +1.05%E +0.466%K +0.839%G +0.009%	3.6%	2026-11-02 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.05%E +0.466%K +0.839%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-11-02 01:45
BetRivers🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.05%E +0.466%K +0.839%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-11-02 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.05%E +0.466%K +0.839%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-11-02 01:45
Unibet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.05%E +0.466%K +0.839%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-11-02 01:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.05%E +0.466%K +0.839%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-11-02 01:45
betPARX🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.05%E +0.466%K +0.839%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-11-02 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.05%E +0.466%K +0.839%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-11-02 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +1.05%E +0.466%K +0.839%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-11-02 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.00%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV +0.151%E +0.068%K +0.123%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-02 01:45
TABtouch🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.00%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV +0.151%E +0.068%K +0.123%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-02 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.151%E +0.068%K +0.123%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.65%E -5.89%K -15.08%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.151%E +0.068%K +0.123%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 01:45
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.298%E -0.134%K -0.244%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-02 01:45
GTbets🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.20%E -0.544%K -0.997%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-02 02:20
1xBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -2.09%E -0.961%K -1.77%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-02 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-02 01:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-02 02:15
TAB🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 01:55
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 02:00
888sport🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 02:20
William Hill🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 02:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 02:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 02:20
PMU (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -13.51%E -8.61%K -23.70%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-11-02 01:45
SportsBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.34%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-02 01:40
Coolbet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.34%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-02 01:50
FanDuel🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-02 01:40
DraftKings🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-02 02:15
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-02 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-02 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-02 02:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 01:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-02 01:35
Sky Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-02 01:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-02 01:30
Betsson🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 02:15
NordicBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 02:15
Fliff🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-02 02:20
ReBet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.63%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 01:40
PlayUp🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 01:55
Bet Right🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-02 02:20
betfred_uk🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-02 01:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-02 01:39
betano_uk🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-02 01:39
Bet Victor🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.70%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-02 01:40
picklebet_au🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-02 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -7.45%E -4.43%K -10.96%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%EV -10.63%E -5.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-11-02 01:40
Codere (IT)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -7.45%E -4.43%K -10.96%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%EV -10.63%E -5.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-11-02 01:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -12.42%E -6.37%K -13.08%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-02 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 54.02%EV -11.86%E -7.41%K -19.76%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 45.98%EV -15.57%E -8.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-11-02 01:40

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
ProphetX◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	0.6%	2026-11-02 02:15
Novig◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%	0.9%	2026-11-02 02:15
Kalshi◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.1%	2026-11-02 02:10
Polymarket◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-11-02 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.7%	2026-11-02 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.7%	2026-11-02 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.7%	2026-11-02 02:20
BetOpenly◎	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%	2.9%	2026-11-02 02:05
Matchbook◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%	3.6%	2026-11-02 01:55
Smarkets◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%	4.4%	2026-11-02 02:20