Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Orlando Magic v Indiana Pacers

Início: 2026-03-23 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Orlando Magic (Local)

Previsão 81.22%1.23odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -8.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.95%81.20%81.29%84.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.35%85.47%82.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indiana Pacers (Visitante)

Previsão 18.78%5.33odd justa
EV +12.67%
Vantagem +2.11%
Kelly +2.53%
Crescimento +0.321%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.73%18.80%18.71%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.115.106.0022.73%19.55%19.61%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Orlando Magic (Local): 81.22%; Indiana Pacers (Visitante): 18.78%. Para Indiana Pacers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.33. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.67%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.03%E -8.06%K -75.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +12.67%E +2.11%K +2.53%G +0.321%6.0%2026-03-23 21:24
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.97%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV +6.10%E +1.08%K +1.31%G +0.080%4.7%2026-03-23 23:04
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +3.28%E +0.597%K +0.730%G +0.024%3.7%2026-03-23 22:40
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +3.28%E +0.597%K +0.730%G +0.024%3.7%2026-03-23 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.78%E -4.99%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +3.28%E +0.597%K +0.730%G +0.024%4.4%2026-03-23 22:40
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.78%E -4.99%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +3.28%E +0.597%K +0.730%G +0.024%4.4%2026-03-23 22:45
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.78%E -4.99%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +3.28%E +0.597%K +0.730%G +0.024%4.4%2026-03-23 22:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.78%E -4.99%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +1.41%E +0.260%K +0.320%G +0.004%4.7%2026-03-23 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07%EV +0.467%E +0.087%K +0.107%G +0.001%3.4%2026-03-23 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.10%EV -5.78%E -4.99%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.90%EV -0.096%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.472%E -0.089%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.472%E -0.089%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.472%E -0.089%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.472%E -0.089%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 22:54
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 81.27%EV -1.72%E -1.42%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.73%EV -1.41%E -0.269%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.7%2026-03-23 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.41%E -0.269%K -0.332%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:54
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.41%E -0.269%K -0.332%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.59%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.41%EV -1.79%E -0.342%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -2.53%E -2.11%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -2.35%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-23 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.35%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.35%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -2.35%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.35%E -0.452%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 22:59
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -3.29%E -0.639%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -3.29%E -0.639%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 22:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.88%EV -7.41%E -6.50%K -52.91%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -3.29%E -0.639%K -0.792%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.35%E -2.81%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-23 23:00
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:54
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:40
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 22:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -7.41%E -6.50%K -52.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -4.23%E -0.829%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.35%E -2.81%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.35%E -2.81%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:49
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 22:59
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.97%E -4.25%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.78%E -4.99%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 22:54
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.41%E -6.50%K -52.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.11%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.98%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.98%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 22:45
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.98%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.60%E -5.74%K -43.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.98%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 22:54
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.53%E -2.11%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.80%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.80%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 23:05
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.16%E -3.52%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.80%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 22:59
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.35%E -2.81%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -11.74%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.35%E -2.81%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -11.74%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 22:59
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.53%E -2.11%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.49%E -3.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.78%E -4.99%K -36.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -17.37%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-23 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 82.51%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.49%0.2%2026-03-23 23:03
BetOpenly1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-03-23 22:59
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-03-23 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-23 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-23 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-23 23:05
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-23 22:44
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-23 22:54
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-03-23 23:05
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.9%2026-03-23 23:05