La escuela de los momios

Orlando Magic v Detroit Pistons

Inicio: 2026-03-01 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 35.46%2.82momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.369%
Kelly +0.569%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%35.41%35.68%36.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.08%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 64.54%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -3.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.11%64.59%64.32%66.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.481.5270.42%67.76%67.57%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.05%E +0.369%K +0.569%G +0.006%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.06%E -4.90%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 22:54
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.05%E +0.369%K +0.569%G +0.006%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.70%E -5.39%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 22:59
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV +0.697%E +0.246%K +0.379%G +0.003%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-01 22:54
BetUS2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +0.343%E +0.121%K +0.187%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 22:50
LowVig.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +0.343%E +0.121%K +0.187%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 23:04
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -0.366%E -0.130%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -2.54%E -1.68%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-01 22:14
BetOnline.ag2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -0.366%E -0.130%K -0.202%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 23:04
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.721%E -0.257%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.77%E -3.95%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 22:49
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.721%E -0.257%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.41%E -4.42%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 22:49
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.721%E -0.257%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.41%E -4.42%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 22:50
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.721%E -0.257%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.41%E -4.42%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 22:53
Dabble (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.721%E -0.257%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.06%E -4.90%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 22:54
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.721%E -0.257%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.35%E -5.88%K -19.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 22:59
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.14%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 23:09
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:59
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:59
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:45
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:49
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.41%E -4.42%K -14.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.41%E -4.42%K -14.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 23:09
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.06%E -4.90%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.06%E -4.90%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 22:49
SportsBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.20%E -1.17%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 23:09
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 22:49
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 21:04
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 22:59
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 20:39
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.83%E -2.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.83%E -2.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.83%E -2.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 23:09
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.83%E -2.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 23:09
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.83%E -2.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 23:09
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 22:59
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 22:59
MyBookie.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 22:54
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.35%E -5.88%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 22:53
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 22:45
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.83%E -2.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 23:09
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.83%E -2.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 23:09
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.83%E -2.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 23:09
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.83%E -2.57%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 23:09
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 22:54
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 23:09
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 23:09
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 23:09
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 22:59
888sport2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 22:54
888sport (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.04%E -2.28%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 23:09
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.75%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.75%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 22:39
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.10%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 22:39
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.89%E -1.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.54%E -1.68%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 22:49
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.54%E -1.68%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 21:04
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:19
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:09
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:10
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.19%E -2.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 22:04
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.12%E -3.48%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 23:04
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.81%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.06%E -4.90%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.59%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.48%E -3.02%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.36%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.41%E -4.42%K -14.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 23:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%0.0%2026-03-01 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-03-01 23:09
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-03-01 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-03-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-03-01 23:09
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-01 23:09
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-03-01 23:09
ProphetX2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-03-01 23:09
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-03-01 23:09
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-03-01 23:09