L’École des cotes

Orlando Magic v Dallas Mavericks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prévision 73.53%1.36cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -4.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.81%73.46%73.62%76.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.3480.00%77.20%76.92%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dallas Mavericks (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.47%3.78cote équitable
EV +8.53%
Avantage +2.08%
Kelly +2.75%
Croissance +0.235%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.36%26.54%26.38%29.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.613.604.1030.77%27.68%27.78%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +8.53%E +2.08%K +2.75%G +0.235%4.4%2026-03-06 00:05
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +5.88%E +1.47%K +1.96%G +0.115%5.0%2026-03-05 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.589%E +0.155%K +0.210%G +0.001%6.3%2026-03-05 22:50
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +0.060%E +0.016%K +0.022%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:55
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%EV -0.205%E -0.054%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.734%E -0.196%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 23:50
Everygame1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.734%E -0.196%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 22:44
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.734%E -0.196%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 23:50
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.66%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.34%EV -1.53%E -0.411%K -0.562%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-05 23:10
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.06%E -0.556%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:05
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.06%E -0.556%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 23:54
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.06%E -0.556%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.06%E -0.556%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:05
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.06%E -0.556%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:05
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.06%E -0.556%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:05
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.556%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:53
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.556%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 22:40
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.556%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -2.32%E -0.629%K -0.863%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 22:33
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.38%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 00:05
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.38%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:05
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.38%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 23:55
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.38%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:05
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -3.65%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 23:05
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -3.91%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 00:05
Bet Victor1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 23:54
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 00:05
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 23:05
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 23:04
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 22:35
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:54
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 23:45
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:05
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:05
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:05
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:45
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:45
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:05
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:05
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.35%E -5.84%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:05
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 00:05
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 00:05
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 23:10
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:05
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 23:40
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.09%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.91%EV -13.18%E -4.02%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 00:04
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.47%E -1.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.47%E -1.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-03-05 23:59
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 75.28%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.72%0.6%2026-03-06 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-06 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-06 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-05 23:50
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-06 00:05
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-03-06 00:05
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-06 00:05
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-05 23:30
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-03-06 00:05