La escuela de los momios

Orlando Magic v Charlotte Hornets

Inicio: 2026-04-17 23:42 UTC

Final: Orlando Magic 121–90 Charlotte Hornets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 43.11%2.32momio equitativo
EV +3.45%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +2.47%
Crecimiento +0.085%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.30%43.15%43.15%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.252.4048.78%44.84%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charlotte Hornets (Visitante)

Predicción 56.89%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.576%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%56.85%56.85%59.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.661.671.7464.10%60.11%60.06%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.45%E +1.44%K +2.47%G +0.085%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -7.83%E -4.83%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 23:40
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 23:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 23:05
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 23:20
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 23:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 23:20
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 23:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 22:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.83%E -4.83%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 17:55
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.83%E -4.83%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 23:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.40%E -5.22%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:54
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.40%E -5.22%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:54
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.858%E -0.373%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.40%E -5.22%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:54
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.72%E -0.755%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 23:35
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.58%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.57%E -0.908%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 23:20
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.58%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 23:00
Caesars2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.58%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:39
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 23:30
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 23:29
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 23:40
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 23:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 23:15
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 23:30
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 23:40
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:20
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:20
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:20
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:35
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:35
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 23:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 23:20
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.26%E -4.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 23:20
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.83%E -4.83%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 23:15
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.44%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 23:18
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.31%E -1.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 23:05
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.31%E -1.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 23:40
SportsBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.31%E -1.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 23:35
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.31%E -1.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 23:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 23:30
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 23:30
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 23:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:30
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:30
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 23:35
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 23:30
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.83%E -4.83%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 23:05
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.40%E -5.22%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 23:20
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.03%E -2.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:35
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -6.89%E -3.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -11.24%E -7.21%K -20.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 23:20
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.32%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.00%E -0.576%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 23:30
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.32%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.32%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.32%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 23:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.48%E -4.51%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 23:29
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.48%E -4.51%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 23:35
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.20%EV -10.77%E -5.20%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 23:35
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.63%E -5.68%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 23:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-17 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-17 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-17 23:30
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-17 23:25
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-17 23:25
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-17 23:25
BetOpenly2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%1.1%2026-04-17 23:25
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-04-17 23:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-04-17 23:40
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 30.40%1.00I 100.00%NM 69.60%43.7%2026-04-17 23:40