La escuela de los momios

Orlando Magic v Atlanta Hawks

Inicio: 2026-04-01 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 43.68%2.29momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.765%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.49%43.73%43.67%46.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.162.152.2550.76%46.36%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Hawks (Visitante)

Predicción 56.32%1.78momio equitativo
EV +0.251%
Ventaja +0.141%
Kelly +0.322%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.97%56.27%56.33%57.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.711.711.7862.50%58.50%58.48%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.251%E +0.141%K +0.322%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-01 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.251%E +0.141%K +0.322%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-01 22:39
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.251%E +0.141%K +0.322%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-01 22:39
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.251%E +0.141%K +0.322%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-01 22:40
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -9.15%E -4.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -0.875%E -0.497%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:40
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -9.15%E -4.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -0.875%E -0.497%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:40
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -9.15%E -4.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -0.875%E -0.497%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:40
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -9.15%E -4.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -0.875%E -0.497%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:40
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.44%E -0.822%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-01 21:05
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.58%E -4.63%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.44%E -0.822%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 22:40
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.58%E -4.63%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.44%E -0.822%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 22:39
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.58%E -4.63%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.44%E -0.822%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 22:40
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.00%E -1.15%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 23:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.00%E -1.15%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -10.02%E -4.86%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -2.00%E -1.15%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 22:40
ReBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.65%E -2.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 22:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:05
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 22:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.56%E -1.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 21:59
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 22:24
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 23:05
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.65%E -2.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 22:55
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 23:10
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.53%E -3.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:45
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.96%E -3.27%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 22:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 22:54
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 22:24
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 21:04
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 21:09
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.72%E -0.765%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 22:58
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 21:09
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 22:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 21:05
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 21:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:10
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 22:59
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:10
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:10
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.72%E -0.765%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 23:09
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.72%E -0.765%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 22:38
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.72%E -0.765%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 16:55
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:48
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 22:50
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 22:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:10
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -13.95%E -7.08%K -14.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 22:40
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.72%E -0.765%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:10
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 23:09
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:05
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.51%E -3.92%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 23:10
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:59
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 23:10
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.40%E -3.49%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.07%E -4.29%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 21:05
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -7.63%E -4.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:10
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -6.96%E -3.27%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -9.89%E -6.18%K -16.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 23:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-01 23:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-01 21:39
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-04-01 23:10
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-04-01 23:10
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-04-01 23:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-01 23:10
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-01 23:10
BetOpenly2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%5.8%2026-04-01 22:59