La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v San Antonio Spurs

Inicio: 2026-05-31 00:15 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 103–111 San Antonio Spurs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 56.31%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.328%
Ventaja -0.185%
Kelly -0.426%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%56.29%56.44%58.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.681.681.7764.10%59.46%59.52%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)

Predicción 43.69%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.482%
Ventaja +0.210%
Kelly +0.371%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.77%43.71%43.56%46.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.032.212.202.3049.26%45.26%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV +0.482%E +0.210%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.7%2026-05-31 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV +0.482%E +0.210%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.7%2026-05-31 00:10
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV +0.482%E +0.210%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.7%2026-05-31 00:10
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV +0.482%E +0.210%K +0.371%G +0.002%3.7%2026-05-31 00:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.482%E +0.210%K +0.371%G +0.002%4.1%2026-05-31 00:10
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.391%E -0.172%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 00:10
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.391%E -0.172%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 00:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.391%E -0.172%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 00:10
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.391%E -0.172%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 00:10
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.391%E -0.172%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 00:10
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.27%E -0.560%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-31 00:10
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.27%E -0.560%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 23:58
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 23:58
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-31 00:10
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-31 00:10
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-31 00:10
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-31 00:10
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 00:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:02
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 00:10
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 00:10
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.21%E -5.04%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.70%E -0.756%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 00:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.14%E -0.955%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 00:10
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.14%E -0.955%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 23:59
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.14%E -0.955%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 00:10
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.14%E -0.955%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 00:09
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 00:10
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 00:09
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.45%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 00:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 00:08
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 00:10
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 00:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 00:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 00:10
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 00:10
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 00:10
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 00:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 00:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 00:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.09%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.21%E -5.04%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 23:59
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 00:10
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.76%E -2.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 00:10
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -12.15%E -7.79%K -21.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.45%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 00:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.45%E -0.831%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.02%E -1.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.82%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 00:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.26%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 23:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.26%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.58%E -1.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.26%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.14%E -1.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.26%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 00:10
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.71%E -2.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.26%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.27%E -2.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.26%E -3.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 00:10
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.328%E -0.185%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.44%E -5.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.01%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.99%EV -11.31%E -5.57%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 00:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-31 00:10
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-05-31 00:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-31 00:10
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-31 00:10
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-31 00:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-31 00:10
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%2.5%2026-05-30 23:59