La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v San Antonio Spurs

Inicio: 2026-05-19 00:40 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 115–122 San Antonio Spurs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 68.62%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -4.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.74%68.57%68.54%69.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.391.391.4375.76%72.02%71.94%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)

Predicción 31.38%3.19momio equitativo
EV -0.206%
Ventaja -0.065%
Kelly -0.095%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.26%31.43%31.46%33.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.043.053.1835.09%32.93%32.79%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 00:29
Bet Victor1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.56%E -1.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.56%E -1.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 00:10
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.56%E -1.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.56%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 00:10
theScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%EV -3.25%E -2.30%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%EV -0.520%E -0.164%K -0.240%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.25%E -2.30%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 00:30
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.25%E -2.30%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 00:29
Everygame1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.25%E -2.30%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 00:29
TAB1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.25%E -2.30%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 00:00
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.25%E -2.30%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 23:50
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -0.520%E -0.164%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 00:20
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 23:49
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 00:30
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 00:10
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 00:29
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 00:29
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 00:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 23:49
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -6.80%E -2.29%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 00:10
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:50
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:50
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 00:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 12:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 12:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 23:50
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.56%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 00:30
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -4.62%E -3.32%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -0.206%E -0.065%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 00:29
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.62%E -3.32%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.15%E -0.364%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 00:30
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.62%E -3.32%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.62%E -3.32%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 00:30
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -0.206%E -0.065%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 00:29
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.15%E -0.364%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.15%E -0.364%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 00:20
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.15%E -0.364%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 00:20
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.15%E -0.364%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 00:20
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.15%E -0.364%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.15%E -0.364%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 00:29
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.15%E -0.364%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 00:29
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 00:20
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 00:20
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 00:20
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 00:20
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 23:59
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 00:20
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 00:20
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 00:20
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 00:20
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.99%E -4.37%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 00:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.29%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 00:20
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 23:40
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.37%E -5.46%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.72%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 00:10
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.37%E -5.46%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 00:20
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.37%E -5.46%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 00:10
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.42%E -7.14%K -29.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.42I 70.42%NM 70.42%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.58%0.0%2026-05-19 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-05-19 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-05-19 00:30
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-05-19 00:30
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 70.17%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.83%0.4%2026-05-19 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-19 00:30
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-18 23:40
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-18 23:40
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-05-19 00:20
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-05-19 00:30