La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v San Antonio Spurs

Inicio: 2026-05-21 00:40 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 122–113 San Antonio Spurs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 69.13%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.799%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.97%69.09%69.04%70.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.371.381.4377.52%72.74%72.73%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)

Predicción 30.87%3.24momio equitativo
EV +1.87%
Ventaja +0.566%
Kelly +0.812%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.18%30.91%30.96%33.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.113.103.3035.09%32.16%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.87%E +0.566%K +0.812%G +0.015%3.8%2026-05-21 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.87%E +0.566%K +0.812%G +0.015%3.8%2026-05-21 00:30
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.87%E +0.566%K +0.812%G +0.015%3.8%2026-05-21 00:30
theScore Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -3.91%E -2.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV +1.56%E +0.474%K +0.680%G +0.011%2.3%2026-05-21 00:30
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.324%E +0.100%K +0.144%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 00:30
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.324%E +0.100%K +0.144%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 00:31
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -0.294%E -0.091%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 23:49
BetAnything1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -0.603%E -0.187%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 00:30
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -0.603%E -0.187%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 00:30
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:30
TAB1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:30
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:00
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:30
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:30
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 23:00
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:30
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:30
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.36%E -5.50%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.22%E -0.381%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 00:30
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -3.91%E -2.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -1.53%E -0.479%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-21 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -2.45%E -0.777%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 00:30
Everygame1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.91%E -2.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.76%E -0.877%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 00:19
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.76%E -0.877%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:20
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.76%E -0.877%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:31
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.76%E -0.877%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:31
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.76%E -0.877%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:31
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.76%E -0.877%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 00:29
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -3.07%E -0.978%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-21 00:20
Bet Victor1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -1.83%E -1.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-21 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 00:20
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.91%E -2.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Coolbet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.91%E -2.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:30
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 22:29
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 00:20
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 00:30
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 22:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 23:00
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.36%E -5.50%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 00:30
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.31%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 00:31
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.92%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -5.85%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.85%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:30
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.85%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:30
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.85%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:30
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.85%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:20
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -10.82%E -8.39%K -37.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -5.85%E -1.92%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 00:30
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 00:30
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.39%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 22:40
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.94%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:29
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.94%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:28
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.91%E -2.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.94%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 00:30
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.14%E -0.799%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:50
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 00:29
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 00:29
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.48%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 23:50
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -12.02%E -4.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 00:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-21 00:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-21 00:30
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.77%0.3%2026-05-21 00:31
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-21 00:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-21 00:31
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-20 23:40
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-05-20 19:40
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-21 00:30
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 70.00%3.29I 30.40%NM 30.00%1.3%2026-05-21 00:29
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-05-21 00:30