La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns

Inicio: 2026-04-19 19:46 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 119–84 Phoenix Suns

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 89.78%1.11momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -12.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.74%89.64%89.87%91.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.061.071.1097.09%94.02%93.46%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Predicción 10.22%9.79momio equitativo
EV +22.61%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.465%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.05%10.36%10.13%13.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.009.379.5012.0014.29%10.67%10.53%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +22.61%E +1.88%K +2.06%G +0.465%3.6%2026-04-19 19:45
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.63%E -6.37%K -165.66%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +17.51%E +1.52%K +1.67%G +0.292%4.8%2026-04-19 19:45
PlayUp1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.83%E -4.56%K -80.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +12.40%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.154%3.4%2026-04-19 19:45
BetAnything1.06I 94.34%NM 91.02%EV -4.83%E -4.56%K -80.52%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.98%EV +9.84%E +0.916%K +1.01%G +0.099%3.6%2026-04-19 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.767%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-19 19:45
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.767%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-19 19:45
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +3.20%E +0.317%K +0.352%G +0.011%3.4%2026-04-19 19:45
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.83%E -4.56%K -80.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.242%G +0.005%4.3%2026-04-19 19:45
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.83%E -4.56%K -80.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.242%G +0.005%4.3%2026-04-19 19:44
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.242%G +0.005%5.2%2026-04-19 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.242%G +0.005%5.2%2026-04-19 19:45
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.242%G +0.005%5.2%2026-04-19 19:44
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.242%G +0.005%5.2%2026-04-19 19:44
Dabble (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.52%E -7.31%K -250.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.242%G +0.005%7.1%2026-04-19 19:45
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 90.21%EV -3.04%E -2.81%K -37.94%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.79%EV +1.67%E +0.168%K +0.186%G +0.003%2.6%2026-04-19 19:39
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 89.86%EV -1.24%E -1.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 10.14%EV -0.376%E -0.039%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.2%2026-04-19 19:45
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -0.478%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 19:45
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:44
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:45
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:45
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:45
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:43
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:45
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:45
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:45
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.83%E -4.56%K -80.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 19:45
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.345%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 19:45
MyBookie.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 89.89%EV -4.83%E -4.56%K -80.52%G +0.000%9.42I 10.62%NM 10.11%EV -3.75%E -0.398%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 19:32
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -5.48%E -0.593%K -0.665%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:43
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.04%E -2.81%K -37.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 19:45
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.04%E -2.81%K -37.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.04%E -2.81%K -37.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 19:45
BetRivers1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 19:45
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 19:45
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 19:45
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 19:45
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 19:45
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 19:45
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 19:45
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 19:45
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 19:37
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -3.04%E -2.81%K -37.94%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -12.13%E -1.41%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 19:45
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.15%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 19:45
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.15%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.83%E -4.56%K -80.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.15%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 19:45
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.73%E -5.46%K -114.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.15%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:45
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.04%E -2.81%K -37.94%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -15.70%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 19:45
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.26%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:45
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.26%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:45
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.26%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:44
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -7.52%E -7.31%K -250.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -18.26%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.93%E -3.68%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -28.47%E -4.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 19:41
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-04-19 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-19 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-19 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-19 19:45
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-19 19:45
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.50%11.63I 8.60%NM 8.50%1.2%2026-04-19 19:45
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-04-19 19:45
ProphetX1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51%2.2%2026-04-19 19:45
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 91.55%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.45%3.0%2026-04-19 19:45