La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-04-03 01:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 75.82%1.32momio equitativo
EV +0.081%
Ventaja +0.061%
Kelly +0.253%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.03%75.67%75.90%77.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.261.3283.33%79.52%79.37%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 24.18%4.14momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.372%
Kelly +0.488%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.79%24.33%24.10%27.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.944.004.2029.41%25.37%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.98%E -4.83%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.56%E +0.372%K +0.488%G +0.008%4.5%2026-04-03 01:39
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43%EV +0.352%E +0.085%K +0.112%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-03 01:39
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.352%E +0.085%K +0.112%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 01:39
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.857%E -0.209%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 01:32
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.857%E -0.209%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.857%E -0.209%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.857%E -0.209%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.857%E -0.209%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 01:40
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.857%E -0.209%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 01:40
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.857%E -0.209%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 01:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.50%E -6.15%K -34.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.857%E -0.209%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.50%E -6.15%K -34.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.857%E -0.209%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 01:40
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 76.08%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -2.31%E -0.571%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 01:39
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 01:39
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 01:39
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 01:40
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 01:39
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:39
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:39
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:40
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:39
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:40
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:39
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:39
Everygame1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:39
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:40
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 01:39
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 01:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.98%E -4.83%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.28%E -0.819%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.52%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 01:40
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -3.76%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 01:28
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 01:28
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 01:28
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 01:40
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 01:40
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 01:39
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.98%E -4.83%K -24.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 01:40
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.69%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 01:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.69%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 01:40
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.69%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 01:40
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -4.47%E -3.55%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -5.94%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 01:34
Caesars1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.71%E -2.92%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.90%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.98%E -4.83%K -24.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.90%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 01:39
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.74%E -5.48%K -29.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.90%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 01:40
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -7.50%E -6.15%K -34.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.90%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 01:29
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.11%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 01:30
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.95%E -2.31%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.32%E -2.49%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 01:40
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.32%E -2.49%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 01:40
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.23%E -4.18%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.32%E -2.49%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 01:40
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.02%E -7.51%K -45.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.32%E -2.49%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 01:40
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.95%E -2.31%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 01:40
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.95%E -2.31%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 01:40
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.19%E -1.70%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.74%E -3.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.95%E -2.31%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.95%E -3.60%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 01:40
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -5.98%E -4.83%K -24.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -15.37%E -4.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 01:40
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV +0.081%E +0.061%K +0.253%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.78%E -5.23%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 01:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 77.64%4.48I 22.32%NM 22.36%-0.2%2026-04-03 01:29
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-04-03 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-03 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-03 01:40
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-03 01:40
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-03 01:40
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-03 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-04-03 01:40
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-04-03 01:40
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-04-03 01:40