La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-02-22 18:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 39.17%2.55momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +0.706%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.65%39.11%39.21%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.79%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 60.83%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.896%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.89%60.79%62.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.08%64.10%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV +1.84%E +0.706%K +1.15%G +0.021%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-22 16:44
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.122%E -0.048%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.122%E -0.048%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.122%E -0.048%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 17:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.122%E -0.048%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 17:45
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.122%E -0.048%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 17:45
Coolbet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -0.905%E -0.358%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 15:29
LowVig.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -1.69%E -0.673%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 18:05
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -1.69%E -0.673%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 17:43
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-22 18:03
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 17:54
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 18:05
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:45
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:44
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:45
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:45
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 16:30
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 18:00
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.86%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 18:00
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.86%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 18:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.86%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.86%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 18:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.86%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.86%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 17:35
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 18:00
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.45%E -0.896%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-22 17:45
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:45
TAB2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 18:00
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:45
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 18:04
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 18:05
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 18:04
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:49
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:45
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:50
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -4.43%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 18:05
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 18:04
MyBookie.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 17:59
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 17:40
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 18:05
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.61%E -2.33%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 17:44
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 18:05
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:44
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 18:02
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:45
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:45
Unibet (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 18:02
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 18:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 17:45
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 17:53
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 18:04
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 18:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.45%E -0.896%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 18:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-02-22 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-02-22 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-02-22 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-02-22 18:05
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-02-22 18:05
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-02-22 18:05
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-02-22 17:49
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-02-22 18:05
BetOpenly2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-02-22 17:59
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-02-22 18:05