Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Knicks v Philadelphia 76ers

2026-10-20 23:00 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

62%

38%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Knicks (Local)

Predicción 62.40%1.60momio equitativo

EV -2.66%

Ventaja -1.71%

Kelly -4.75%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

61.32%62.69%62.30%65.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.381.511.521.5672.46%66.16%65.79%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 37.60%2.66momio equitativo

EV +7.17%

Ventaja +2.52%

Kelly +3.88%

Crecimiento +0.278%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

34.43%37.31%37.70%38.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.332.542.502.8542.92%39.38%40.00%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: New York Knicks (Local): 62.40%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante): 37.60%. Para Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.66. 7 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.85, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.17%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
1xBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.52%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 34.48%EV +7.17%E +2.52%K +3.88%G +0.278%	1.8%	2026-09-27 11:14
Marathon Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -8.90%E -6.10%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV +4.54%E +1.63%K +2.55%G +0.116%	4.5%	2026-09-27 11:09
Pinnacle🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -7.03%E -4.72%K -14.34%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +4.16%E +1.50%K +2.35%G +0.098%	3.2%	2026-09-28 14:25
Bovada🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -7.65%E -5.17%K -15.94%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +3.41%E +1.24%K +1.95%G +0.066%	3.9%	2026-09-28 22:14
GTbets🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.53%E +0.566%K +0.899%G +0.014%	3.7%	2026-09-29 10:10
SportsBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV +0.400%E +0.150%K +0.240%G +0.001%	4.1%	2026-09-28 00:24
FanDuel🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.33%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-09 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.352%E -0.133%K -0.213%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-29 01:59
Sky Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.10%E -0.420%K -0.677%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-11 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.10%E -0.420%K -0.677%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-05 07:10
Caesars🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.33%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.48%E -0.565%K -0.913%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-29 21:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.48%E -0.565%K -0.913%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-11 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.23%E -0.858%K -1.39%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-21 23:30
TAB🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.23%E -0.858%K -1.39%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-29 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.61%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.23%E -0.858%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-05 10:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-05 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-05 13:25
betPARX🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 20:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 20:39
Unibet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 20:40
Fanatics🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-05 08:45
PlayUp🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-24 02:30
DraftKings🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-30 22:30
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.66%E -1.71%K -4.75%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-05 13:25
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 14:40
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-05 13:24
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-05 13:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-05 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-23 14:40
Neds🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-23 14:40
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-05 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-18 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-05 13:25
BetRivers🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.33%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-18 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.33%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-18 20:40
TABtouch🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.78%E -3.83%K -11.33%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-18 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-18 20:40
ReBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.16%E -3.39%K -9.92%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-05 13:25
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-05 13:24
NordicBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.91%E -2.54%K -7.24%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-05 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-23 14:35
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.53%E -2.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-23 14:39
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-05 13:24
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-05 13:24
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-05 13:25
LeoVegas🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.40%E -4.27%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-05 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.03%E -4.72%K -14.34%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-10-05 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.52%E -6.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-09-30 02:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -7.65%E -5.17%K -15.94%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-10-05 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 63.00%EV -13.89%E -10.07%K -36.56%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-10-05 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.61%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -12.38%E -5.32%K -9.31%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-10-05 13:25

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Kalshi◎	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%	2.1%	2026-10-05 01:35
Novig◎	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%	7.4%	2026-10-05 07:50

Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.82%Betway 1.56 (64.6%) / 1xBet 2.85 (35.4%)Ver detalles

Betway🎯 1xBet🎯

New York Knicks (Local)	Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)	Margen
Betway🎯 1.56 (64.6%)	1xBet🎯 2.85 (35.4%)	+0.816%