Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Knicks v Charlotte Hornets

Inicio: 2026-04-12 22:11 UTC

Final: New York Knicks 96–110 Charlotte Hornets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Knicks (Local)

Predicción 14.13%7.08momio equitativo
EV +5.96%
Ventaja +0.794%
Kelly +0.916%
Crecimiento +0.055%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.69%14.34%13.95%16.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.847.007.5018.18%14.62%14.29%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Charlotte Hornets (Visitante)

Predicción 85.87%1.16momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -2.62%
Kelly -22.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.21%85.66%86.05%87.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.111.111.1394.34%90.31%90.09%88.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Knicks (Local): 14.13%; Charlotte Hornets (Visitante): 85.87%. Para New York Knicks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.08. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.96%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV +5.96%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-12 22:08
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.96%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.96%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.96%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.96%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.96%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.96%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
BetUS🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV +3.13%E +0.429%K +0.497%G +0.016%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +3.13%E +0.429%K +0.497%G +0.016%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 21:58
Fliff🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +3.13%E +0.429%K +0.497%G +0.016%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:09
BetAnything🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +2.42%E +0.334%K +0.388%G +0.009%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯7.14I 14.01%NM 13.35%EV +0.870%E +0.122%K +0.142%G +0.001%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.65%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:59
FanDuel🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +0.305%E +0.043%K +0.050%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯7.03I 14.22%NM 13.74%EV -0.684%E -0.097%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.26%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:09
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Everygame🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:09
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:09
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:10
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:10
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:09
theScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 22:10
NetBet (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.12%E -7.59%K -115.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:00
Pinnacle🎯6.97I 14.35%NM 13.95%EV -1.53%E -0.220%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 22:09
GTbets🎯6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV -1.81%E -0.261%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 22:09
BetOnline.ag🎯6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -3.09%E -0.450%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -3.93%E -0.578%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 21:59
Coolbet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -3.93%E -0.578%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:08
ReBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -3.93%E -0.578%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -4.64%E -0.687%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Bet Right🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.64%E -0.687%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:09
PMU (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -4.64%E -0.687%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -6.76%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:01
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:06
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 22:10
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 21:59
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 21:59
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:10
LeoVegas🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -8.98%E -8.47%K -149.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 22:09
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.70%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:10
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 22:10
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 22:09
Betclic (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 22:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly8.43I 11.86%NM 11.82%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.18%0.4%2026-04-12 21:59
Polymarket7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%0.7%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-04-12 22:10
Novig7.94I 12.59%NM 12.46%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.54%1.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%1.7%2026-04-12 22:10
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%1.7%2026-04-12 22:10
ProphetX7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%2.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Smarkets7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%3.6%2026-04-12 22:10