La escuela de los momios

New York Knicks v Atlanta Hawks

Inicio: 2026-04-21 00:10 UTC

Final: New York Knicks 106–107 Atlanta Hawks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Knicks (Local)

Predicción 67.50%1.48momio equitativo
EV -0.771%
Ventaja -0.524%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.22%67.39%67.68%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.411.411.4774.63%70.86%70.92%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Hawks (Visitante)

Predicción 32.50%3.08momio equitativo
EV +0.741%
Ventaja +0.239%
Kelly +0.353%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%32.61%32.32%34.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.942.953.1038.02%34.02%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.741%E +0.239%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.8%2026-04-20 21:40
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.741%E +0.239%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.8%2026-04-20 21:40
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.741%E +0.239%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.8%2026-04-20 21:39
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.741%E +0.239%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.8%2026-04-20 22:35
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 68.00%EV -2.80%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.00%EV -0.559%E -0.183%K -0.271%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 23:49
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.884%E -0.290%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 23:49
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.884%E -0.290%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 23:49
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.884%E -0.290%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 23:49
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.884%E -0.290%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 23:49
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.884%E -0.290%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:24
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.884%E -0.290%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 22:39
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -1.53%E -0.506%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 22:35
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -1.86%E -0.616%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:40
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -2.80%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -2.18%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-21 00:05
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-20 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 23:49
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 22:55
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 23:25
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 23:49
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 23:49
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:35
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 23:50
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 23:49
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.52%E -5.49%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 23:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.51%E -0.836%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 00:00
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -3.16%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 23:45
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.16%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 23:45
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 23:54
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 23:30
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 00:05
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:55
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 00:04
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 00:00
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.13%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:49
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -0.771%E -0.524%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 00:05
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.80%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 22:59
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 00:04
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:05
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 22:35
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 22:35
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.52%E -5.49%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 23:30
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 23:24
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -1.45%E -0.990%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 00:04
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 22:39
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 22:39
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -9.55%E -7.12%K -28.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 23:49
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -1.45%E -0.990%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -8.68%E -3.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 00:04
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -0.771%E -0.524%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 00:05
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 00:00
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.80%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.80%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 00:05
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.80%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.63%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 23:49
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.80%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.63%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 23:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.80%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.26%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.42%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -14.53%E -5.53%K -8.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 00:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-04-21 00:05
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-04-20 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-21 00:05
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-21 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-21 00:05
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-04-21 00:05
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-04-20 23:30
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-21 00:05
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-04-21 00:05
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-04-21 00:05