La escuela de los momios

New Orleans Pelicans v Orlando Magic

Inicio: 2026-04-05 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New Orleans Pelicans (Local)

Predicción 31.75%3.15momio equitativo
EV +3.18%
Ventaja +0.978%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.50%31.65%31.76%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.053.2536.36%33.20%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Predicción 68.25%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -3.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%68.35%68.24%70.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.391.401.4475.76%71.82%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +3.18%E +0.978%K +1.41%G +0.045%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 22:54
Caesars3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV +2.23%E +0.691%K +1.00%G +0.022%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 22:34
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +1.27%E +0.399%K +0.581%G +0.007%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 22:45
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:49
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Fliff3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.49%E -4.74%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:55
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -0.949%E -0.304%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 22:45
SportsBet3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -1.27%E -0.407%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.13%E -3.69%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.58%E -0.511%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.08%E -2.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 22:50
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.58%E -0.511%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 23:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.58%E -0.511%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.13%E -3.69%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:55
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.58%E -0.511%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:45
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.58%E -0.511%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:45
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.58%E -0.511%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:45
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.58%E -0.511%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:44
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.58%E -0.511%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.86%E -5.82%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:00
LowVig.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -2.85%E -0.933%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 22:34
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 23:04
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 22:30
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 22:34
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 22:34
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 23:00
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:59
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:34
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:44
GTbets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.13%E -3.69%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 23:05
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:55
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:55
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:54
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.81%E -4.21%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 22:45
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.81%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 22:34
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -4.12%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.40%E -1.68%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 23:05
ReBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -4.12%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 22:34
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.76%E -2.67%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 22:50
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:34
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:54
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 23:05
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.13%E -3.69%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:49
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 22:59
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.86%E -5.82%K -22.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 22:55
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.35%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:34
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.35%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 23:05
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.35%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 23:05
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.35%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.91%E -7.50%K -30.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 22:45
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.30%E -2.50%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.49%E -4.74%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:54
MyBookie.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -7.62%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -3.08%E -2.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:35
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.93%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.72%E -1.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 22:34
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.93%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.40%E -1.68%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 22:30
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.93%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.08%E -2.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:39
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.93%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.08%E -2.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 23:05
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.93%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 22:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.93%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 22:30
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.93%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 22:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.57%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:34
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.57%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:49
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.57%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.57%E -2.98%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.89%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 22:30
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.89%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 22:34
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.11%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:04
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.72%E -1.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 17:59
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -12.70%E -4.62%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -8.54%E -6.37%K -25.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly3.32I 30.12%NM 30.11%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.89%0.1%2026-04-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-05 23:05
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-05 23:05
Novig3.24I 30.86%NM 30.62%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%0.8%2026-04-05 23:05
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-04-05 23:05
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-04-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-05 23:05
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-04-05 23:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%2.2%2026-04-05 23:05