Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New Orleans Pelicans v Indiana Pacers

2026-10-22 00:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New Orleans Pelicans (Local)

Predicción 41.03%2.44momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.708%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.22%40.98%41.14%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.312.332.4848.78%43.31%42.92%40.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indiana Pacers (Visitante)

Predicción 58.97%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.932%
Ventaja -0.555%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%59.02%58.86%60.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.601.611.6867.57%62.36%62.11%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: New Orleans Pelicans (Local): 41.03%; Indiana Pacers (Visitante): 58.97%. Para New Orleans Pelicans (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.44. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.48, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.76%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +1.76%E +0.708%K +1.19%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-28 20:50
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +0.526%E +0.215%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.24%E -3.92%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-28 22:14
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.53%E -0.636%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 19:00
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.53%E -0.636%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 18:20
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.53%E -0.636%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.53%E -0.636%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 18:55
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.53%E -0.636%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.53%E -0.636%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.35%E -0.986%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.35%E -0.986%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.35%E -0.986%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.35%E -0.986%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 21:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.76%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-02 08:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.88%E -2.38%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-02 12:25
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.47%E -2.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.47%E -2.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 05:20
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.58%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.40%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.42%E -4.73%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.81%E -2.07%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 21:45
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.63%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-02 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.63%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.47%E -2.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 08:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.63%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.47%E -2.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 08:49
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.63%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.63%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.63%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 08:50
ReBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.45%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.06%E -3.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 08:50
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -6.45%E -2.83%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-02 08:50
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -7.27%E -3.22%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -0.932%E -0.555%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -7.27%E -3.22%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -1.52%E -0.911%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 13:59
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 12:25
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 12:25
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.70%E -1.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 05:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.83%E -4.32%K -11.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-02 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.68%E -3.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.78%E -6.39%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-30 02:29
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.73%E -4.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.52%E -0.911%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 05:04
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.73%E -4.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.52%E -0.911%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 05:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.73%E -4.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.52%E -0.911%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 07:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.73%E -4.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.65%E -3.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.78%E -5.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.01%E -5.13%K -14.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-02 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.78%E -5.48%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.60%E -5.55%K -15.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-02 08:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.11%EV -13.01%E -6.14%K -11.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.89%EV -12.73%E -8.60%K -26.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-05 05:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.89%E -7.75%K -15.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.75%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.09%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-02 08:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%4.8%2026-10-05 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%4.8%2026-10-05 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%4.8%2026-10-05 12:15
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%7.5%2026-10-05 05:10
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.15%Pinnacle 2.48 (40.4%) / FanDuel 1.68 (59.6%)Ver detalles
New Orleans Pelicans (Local)Indiana Pacers (Visitante)Margen
Pinnacle🎯 2.48 (40.4%)FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.6%)+0.154%