La escuela de los momios

New Orleans Pelicans v Golden State Warriors

Inicio: 2026-02-25 01:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New Orleans Pelicans (Local)

Predicción 47.74%2.09momio equitativo
EV +0.254%
Ventaja +0.121%
Kelly +0.231%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%47.75%47.78%49.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.982.002.1052.63%50.43%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Predicción 52.26%1.91momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.932%
Kelly -1.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.80%52.25%52.22%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.69%54.64%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.254%E +0.121%K +0.231%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 01:09
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 01:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.13%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 01:10
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.61%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-25 01:09
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.09%E -1.52%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 01:08
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.56%E -1.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:10
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.56%E -1.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 01:09
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.56%E -1.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:59
SportsBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.04%E -2.01%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.84%E -2.09%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 01:09
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:09
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:08
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:09
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:10
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:09
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:09
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 01:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 01:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 01:09
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 01:09
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 01:10
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 01:09
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 01:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 00:59
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 01:00
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 01:03
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 01:09
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 01:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 00:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 01:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 00:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 00:59
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.45%E -3.61%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 01:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 01:10
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 01:10
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.89%E -2.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 01:09
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.47%E -2.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 01:09
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.95%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -1.75%E -0.932%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 01:09
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.95%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 01:10
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 01:09
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 01:10
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 01:09
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.84%E -2.09%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 01:09
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.84%E -2.09%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 01:09
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 01:09
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 01:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 01:09
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 01:09
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 01:10
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 01:09
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 01:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 01:09
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 01:10
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 00:59
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.38%E -3.81%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 01:09
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.34%E -4.34%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 01:09
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 01:09
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.29%E -4.89%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 01:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-02-25 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-02-25 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-02-25 01:10
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-02-25 01:09
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-02-25 01:09
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-02-25 00:59
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-02-25 01:10
Novig2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%2.0%2026-02-25 01:09
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-02-25 01:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-02-25 01:10