La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors

Inicio: 2026-03-06 01:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Predicción 65.14%1.54momio equitativo
EV -0.983%
Ventaja -0.647%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.68%65.07%65.08%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.461.5271.43%68.57%68.49%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Raptors (Visitante)

Predicción 34.86%2.87momio equitativo
EV +0.389%
Ventaja +0.135%
Kelly +0.207%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%34.93%34.92%36.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.762.752.8838.17%36.28%36.36%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV +0.389%E +0.135%K +0.207%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV +0.389%E +0.135%K +0.207%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-06 01:10
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV +0.389%E +0.135%K +0.207%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV +0.389%E +0.135%K +0.207%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.657%E -0.230%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 01:10
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.657%E -0.230%K -0.355%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.657%E -0.230%K -0.355%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.657%E -0.230%K -0.355%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -1.35%E -0.478%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -1.70%E -0.604%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 01:10
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 01:09
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 01:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 01:09
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 01:10
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 01:10
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.85%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.40%E -0.857%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.15%E -5.78%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:10
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.79%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 01:10
Everygame1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 01:09
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 01:10
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 01:10
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.24%E -2.88%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:59
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 01:01
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:00
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:10
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:09
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:10
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -4.49%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -0.983%E -0.647%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -4.84%E -1.77%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-06 01:09
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 01:09
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 01:09
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 01:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 01:10
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.50%E -5.28%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 00:59
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -2.94%E -1.97%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -6.58%E -2.46%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:59
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.50%E -5.28%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -6.93%E -2.60%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 01:06
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.29%E -1.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -8.33%E -3.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.24%E -2.88%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.33%E -3.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 01:10
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -4.24%E -2.88%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -8.67%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 66.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 33.41%-1.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-06 01:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-03-06 01:10
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-03-06 01:10
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-03-06 01:10
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-03-06 01:10
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%5.7%2026-03-06 00:59