Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Chicago Bulls

2026-11-15 01:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

68 corredores (22 en el análisis )

88%

12%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Predicción 87.63%1.14momio equitativo

EV -2.74%

Ventaja -2.46%

Kelly -24.87%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

82.79%87.32%87.77%88.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.031.091.091.1197.09%92.08%91.74%90.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Bulls (Visitante)

Predicción 12.37%8.08momio equitativo

EV +5.18%

Ventaja +0.610%

Kelly +0.691%

Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

11.09%12.68%12.23%17.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

5.107.617.788.5019.61%13.13%12.86%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 87.63%; Chicago Bulls (Visitante): 12.37%. Para Chicago Bulls (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 8.08. 20 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 8.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.18%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (68 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	4.4%	2026-11-14 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	4.4%	2026-11-14 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	4.4%	2026-11-14 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	4.4%	2026-11-14 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	4.4%	2026-11-15 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	4.4%	2026-11-15 00:10
BetRivers🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.15%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	5.2%	2026-11-14 22:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.15%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	5.2%	2026-11-14 22:55
betPARX🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.15%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	5.2%	2026-11-14 22:54
Unibet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.15%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	5.2%	2026-11-14 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.12%E -6.71%K -118.61%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	6.1%	2026-11-14 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.12%E -6.71%K -118.61%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	6.1%	2026-11-14 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.12%E -6.71%K -118.61%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	6.1%	2026-11-14 22:55
TABtouch🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.12%E -6.71%K -118.61%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.18%E +0.610%K +0.691%G +0.036%	6.1%	2026-11-14 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV +3.08%E +0.370%K +0.420%G +0.013%	3.7%	2026-11-14 19:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.35%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	8.27I 12.09%NM 11.65%EV +2.34%E +0.283%K +0.321%G +0.008%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:44
betano_uk🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +2.09%E +0.253%K +0.288%G +0.006%	3.0%	2026-11-15 00:49
Bet Victor🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +2.09%E +0.253%K +0.288%G +0.006%	3.0%	2026-11-15 00:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 88.13%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	8.17I 12.24%NM 11.87%EV +1.10%E +0.135%K +0.153%G +0.002%	3.1%	2026-11-15 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +0.109%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 19:24
GTbets🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-15 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 22:45
Coolbet🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 22:45
Fanatics🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 22:10
Caesars🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 21:15
BetAnything🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 23:40
BetUS🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 19:24
Bet Right🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -9.75%E -9.46%K -324.86%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -1.00%E -0.126%K -0.144%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-11-14 22:55
1xBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.85%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.95I 12.58%NM 12.15%EV -1.62%E -0.204%K -0.234%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-14 19:39
DraftKings🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV -2.24%E -0.284%K -0.325%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 19:30
ReBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -3.48%E -0.446%K -0.512%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-15 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.15%G +0.000%	7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -3.48%E -0.446%K -0.512%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -4.10%E -0.529%K -0.607%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-15 00:15
BetMGM🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -4.10%E -0.529%K -0.607%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-15 00:25
FanDuel🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -5.95%E -0.783%K -0.902%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-15 00:05
SportsBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:45
TAB🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 13:55
Everygame🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 14:15
picklebet_au🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:15
Bovada🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 22:20
PlayUp🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-14 22:55
Casumo🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-15 00:05
Coral🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.19%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-14 23:35
Codere (IT)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -8.43%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-15 00:45
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.74%E -2.46%K -24.87%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 20:49
888sport🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-15 00:15
William Hill🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-15 00:14
888sport (SE)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-15 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-15 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 23:35
Neds🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 23:35
betfred_uk🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.87%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-15 00:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-15 00:15
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -7.99%E -7.61%K -159.86%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.38%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-11-15 00:10
Sky Bet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.74%E -2.46%K -24.87%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.57%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-15 00:30
Paddy Power🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.57%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:05
NordicBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.57%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:00
Betsson🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.57%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.28%K -36.12%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.57%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 84.65%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.15%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -26.99%E -4.57%K -5.51%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-11-15 00:45
LeoVegas🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 84.19%EV -5.36%E -4.97%K -67.05%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -28.85%E -5.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-15 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 84.31%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.15%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -28.85%E -5.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-11-15 00:48
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 82.79%EV -7.12%E -6.71%K -118.61%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -36.89%E -7.23%K -9.00%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-11-15 00:15

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
BetOpenly◎	1.12I 89.29%NM 89.53%	9.58I 10.44%NM 10.47%	-0.3%	2026-11-15 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%	8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%	0.1%	2026-11-15 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%	8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%	0.1%	2026-11-15 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%	8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%	0.1%	2026-11-15 00:50
Matchbook◎	1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%	8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%	0.4%	2026-11-15 00:45
Novig◎	1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%	8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%	0.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
ProphetX◎	1.12I 89.29%NM 88.36%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.64%	1.1%	2026-11-15 00:35
Polymarket◎	1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%	8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%	1.3%	2026-11-15 00:35
Kalshi◎	1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%	8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%	1.3%	2026-11-14 19:15
Smarkets◎	1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33%	8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67%	2.0%	2026-11-15 00:50

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