Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors

Inicio: 2026-02-22 20:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 39.02%2.56momio equitativo
EV -0.893%
Ventaja -0.352%
Kelly -0.580%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.14%38.96%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.432.452.5445.45%41.07%40.82%39.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Raptors (Visitante)

Predicción 60.98%1.64momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +2.75%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%60.86%61.04%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.571.561.6766.23%63.80%64.10%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 39.02%; Toronto Raptors (Visitante): 60.98%. Para Toronto Raptors (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.64. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.67, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.84%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.84%E +1.10%K +2.75%G +0.050%5.3%2026-02-22 20:39
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -7.92%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -1.21%E -0.747%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:40
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.82%E -1.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 20:39
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.82%E -1.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 20:38
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 20:40
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 20:29
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -2.06%E -0.822%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-22 20:39
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 20:40
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 20:39
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:40
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 20:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 20:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -8.70%E -3.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -0.893%E -0.352%K -0.580%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -4.26%E -2.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.28%E -0.507%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.26%E -2.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 20:40
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.26%E -2.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.26%E -2.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:38
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.26%E -2.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.26%E -2.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.26%E -2.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:29
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.26%E -2.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 20:40
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.26%E -2.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 20:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:40
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:39
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:40
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 20:40
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 20:40
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 20:40
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.75%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:33
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.62%E -1.47%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 20:28
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.19%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 20:40
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.19%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.19%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.19%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.48%E -3.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.09%E -3.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 20:39
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.982%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 20:39
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 20:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -7.53%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -7.31%E -4.81%K -14.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 20:30
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.92%E -5.24%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%0.1%2026-02-22 20:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-02-22 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-02-22 20:40
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-02-22 20:40