Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns

Inicio: 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 45.59%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.614%
Ventaja -0.282%
Kelly -0.520%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.96%45.50%45.60%48.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.1850.00%47.91%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Predicción 54.41%1.84momio equitativo
EV +4.47%
Ventaja +2.33%
Kelly +4.86%
Crecimiento +0.217%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.02%54.50%54.40%56.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.761.761.9259.52%56.87%56.82%52.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 45.59%; Phoenix Suns (Visitante): 54.41%. Para Phoenix Suns (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.84. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.92, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.47%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -8.82%E -4.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV +4.47%E +2.33%K +4.86%G +0.217%2.1%2026-03-10 23:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.98%E -0.922%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-10 23:48
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.63%E -2.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.63%E -2.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.63%E -2.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.63%E -2.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.82%E -4.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 08:49
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.98%E -0.922%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-10 23:40
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.08%E -2.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 00:05
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.08%E -2.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 00:05
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.08%E -2.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.08%E -2.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.15%E -1.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.15%E -1.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 23:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.15%E -1.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.15%E -1.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.15%E -1.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.15%E -1.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:05
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:05
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 00:05
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:14
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.69%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 00:05
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.35%E -1.58%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 00:05
ReBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.35%E -1.58%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.78%E -2.73%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.78%E -2.73%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.78%E -2.73%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.78%E -2.73%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.72%E -2.26%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.78%E -2.73%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 23:55
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.17%E -2.49%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.78%E -2.73%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:04
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.17%E -2.49%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.78%E -2.73%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.98%E -0.922%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:35
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.98%E -0.922%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:55
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.98%E -0.922%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 00:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 00:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.82%E -4.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.87%E -3.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:50
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.87%E -3.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.87%E -3.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:55
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.87%E -3.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 00:00
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.87%E -3.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.87%E -3.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.98%E -0.922%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.41%E -3.73%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -6.41%E -3.73%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.41%E -3.73%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 23:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.91%E -3.92%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.41%E -3.73%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 00:00
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.614%E -0.282%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.96%E -4.07%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:59
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.98%E -0.922%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.26%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.59%E -5.11%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.91%E -3.92%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.59%E -5.11%K -12.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 00:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-03-11 00:05
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-03-11 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-11 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-11 00:05
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-03-11 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-03-11 00:05
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-11 00:00
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-03-11 00:05
BetOpenly2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%2.5%2026-03-10 23:55