La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Bucks v Brooklyn Nets

Inicio: 2026-04-11 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Predicción 79.90%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -11.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.65%79.80%79.86%81.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.191.201.2286.96%83.80%83.33%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Brooklyn Nets (Visitante)

Predicción 20.10%4.97momio equitativo
EV +0.511%
Ventaja +0.102%
Kelly +0.128%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.96%20.20%20.14%22.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.694.755.0024.39%21.31%21.05%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.511%E +0.102%K +0.128%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-11 00:08
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.511%E +0.102%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-11 00:10
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.511%E +0.102%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.511%E +0.102%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.511%E +0.102%K +0.128%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-11 00:10
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.511%E +0.102%K +0.128%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-11 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.511%E +0.102%K +0.128%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-11 00:09
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -4.92%E -4.14%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -0.494%E -0.100%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:10
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -1.50%E -0.306%K -0.384%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:09
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -2.50%E -0.516%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -2.50%E -0.516%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:58
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -2.50%E -0.516%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:10
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -2.91%E -0.602%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:09
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.90%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.10%EV -3.31%E -0.688%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.51%E -0.731%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:03
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.51%E -0.731%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:10
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.51%E -0.731%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:08
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.51%E -0.731%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:09
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.51%E -0.731%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:09
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.51%E -0.731%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -3.51%E -0.731%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:10
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:10
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:10
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:10
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.92%E -4.14%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.92%E -4.14%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.92%E -4.14%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.92%E -4.14%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:01
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.51%E -0.950%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -4.72%E -0.995%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Codere (IT)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.92%E -4.14%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.52%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 00:01
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.52%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.92%E -4.14%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 00:10
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.32%E -6.31%K -45.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.53%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 00:01
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.20%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV -8.13%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:04
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.54%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:10
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.32%E -2.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -9.54%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 00:10
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.54%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 00:10
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.54%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 23:59
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.54%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.54%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 23:59
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.54%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 23:59
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.54%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 00:10
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.52%E -5.57%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.54%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 00:00
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -2.52%E -2.07%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -10.54%E -2.37%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:59
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 79.09%EV -8.12%E -7.06%K -54.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 00:10
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.96%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.12%E -3.44%K -20.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.96%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.72%E -4.85%K -31.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -17.58%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 00:06
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.23I 81.30%NM 81.39%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.61%-0.1%2026-04-10 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-04-11 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-04-11 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-04-11 00:10
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-04-11 00:10
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 80.41%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.59%1.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-04-11 00:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-04-11 00:10
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%2.6%2026-04-11 00:10