مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Heat v Detroit Pistons

البداية: 2026-03-08 22:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Heat (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.48%2.06السعر العادل
EV -0.612%
الأفضلية -0.298%
Kelly -0.583%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.75%48.51%48.30%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.841.971.972.0554.35%50.82%50.76%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Detroit Pistons (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.52%1.94السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.565%
Kelly -1.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%51.49%51.70%53.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.841.851.9256.18%54.22%54.20%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.612%E -0.298%K -0.583%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.15%E -1.67%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-08 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.612%E -0.298%K -0.583%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 17:54
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.612%E -0.298%K -0.583%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 21:49
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.07%E -1.02%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 22:04
Coolbet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -2.55%E -1.27%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.21%E -2.83%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:59
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.12%E -1.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-08 21:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 22:05
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 20:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:50
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 20:20
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 20:19
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 20:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 20:20
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:59
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 19:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 20:00
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 21:49
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 21:44
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 22:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 18:29
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.52%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.09%E -0.565%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-08 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.12%E -1.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 22:00
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:39
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:40
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:45
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.69%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 22:05
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.21%E -2.83%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 20:24
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.01%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.21%E -2.83%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 21:40
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.49%E -2.28%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.49%E -2.28%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 21:54
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.49%E -2.28%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 21:40
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.49%E -2.28%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 21:40
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.49%E -2.28%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 21:39
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.49%E -2.28%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:24
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.98%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 21:55
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.15%E -1.67%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 21:59
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:04
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:04
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 21:49
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 21:49
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 21:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:04
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:54
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -5.94%E -3.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -2.63%E -1.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 21:49
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -7.78%E -4.35%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 21:45
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.43%E -3.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 22:01
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.40%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.60%E -0.838%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 22:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.40%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 21:58
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 21:54
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 22:05
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:04
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -10.79%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 21:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-03-08 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-03-08 22:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-03-08 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-03-08 22:04
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-08 22:05
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-08 22:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-08 22:04
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.8%2026-03-08 22:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-03-08 22:00
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%2.7%2026-03-08 21:39