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Memphis Grizzlies v Oklahoma City Thunder

2026-11-07 01:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Predicción 39.36%2.54momio equitativo
EV +3.14%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.94%
Crecimiento +0.061%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.56%39.21%39.24%40.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.412.422.6247.62%41.54%41.24%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 60.64%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -3.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.15%60.79%60.76%63.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.551.561.6168.97%64.33%64.10%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 39.36%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante): 60.64%. Para Memphis Grizzlies (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.54. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.62, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.14%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +3.14%E +1.20%K +1.94%G +0.061%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-06 01:14
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.59%E -0.635%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-06 00:30
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.59%E -0.635%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-06 00:09
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.59%E -0.635%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-06 00:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.59%E -0.635%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-06 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.59%E -0.635%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-06 00:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.59%E -0.635%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-06 00:35
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.98%E -0.796%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-06 00:35
Caesars🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.38%E -0.958%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-06 00:35
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-06 00:40
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-06 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-06 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-06 00:05
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-06 00:04
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-06 01:00
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 00:55
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 00:55
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 00:55
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-06 00:55
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.74%E -1.96%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-06 00:45
ReBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.13%E -2.13%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 01:05
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-06 00:15
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-06 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-06 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-06 00:09
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.02%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-06 00:45
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.02%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-06 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.02%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-06 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-06 00:55
DraftKings🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.92%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-06 00:09
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-06 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-06 00:10
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-06 00:09
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.02%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-06 00:09
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.02%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-06 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 01:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-06 00:40
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-06 00:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-06 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-06 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-06 00:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%EV -9.65%E -6.48%K -19.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-06 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.85%EV -17.33%E -8.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.15%EV -12.08%E -8.33%K -26.84%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-06 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-11-06 01:10
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%0.5%2026-11-06 01:10
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-11-06 00:05
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-11-06 00:25
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-11-06 01:15
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%8.0%2026-11-06 01:05