La escuela de los momios

Memphis Grizzlies v Chicago Bulls

Inicio: 2026-03-29 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Predicción 41.51%2.41momio equitativo
EV +2.11%
Ventaja +0.856%
Kelly +1.44%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.38%41.62%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.292.302.4647.62%43.62%43.48%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Bulls (Visitante)

Predicción 58.49%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.62%58.38%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.621.621.6764.94%61.65%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +2.11%E +0.856%K +1.44%G +0.030%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:50
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV +0.031%E +0.013%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.384%E -0.160%K -0.274%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 02:05
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.384%E -0.160%K -0.274%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 02:40
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.21%E -0.510%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 00:15
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.04%E -0.866%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:15
SportsBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.04%E -0.866%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:15
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.04%E -0.866%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:30
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 00:35
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:10
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:35
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 01:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:35
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:25
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:55
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 00:30
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 00:35
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.53%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 00:35
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.36%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.36%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.36%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.36%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:40
ReBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.36%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:35
MyBookie.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.36%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:55
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:10
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:35
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:35
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:35
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 00:15
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 00:30
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 00:50
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 03:10
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-28 00:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-28 00:35
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.44%E -3.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 02:28
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:24
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 02:08
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV -9.93%E -4.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 00:35
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.76%E -5.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 00:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.84%E -6.11%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-28 00:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%-0.2%2026-03-28 02:55
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-28 01:10
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-03-28 02:55
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-03-28 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%3.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%3.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%3.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%6.8%2026-03-28 02:45
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 42.36%1.33I 75.19%NM 57.64%30.4%2026-03-28 01:45