La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Lakers v Utah Jazz

Inicio: 2026-04-13 00:41 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Lakers 131–107 Utah Jazz

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Predicción 87.67%1.14momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -2.42%
Kelly -24.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.39%87.48%87.91%89.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.091.091.1195.24%91.94%91.74%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Utah Jazz (Visitante)

Predicción 12.33%8.11momio equitativo
EV +13.48%
Ventaja +1.46%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.222%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.42%12.52%12.09%15.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.687.509.2016.67%13.01%13.33%10.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -6.20%E -5.79%K -88.54%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +13.48%E +1.46%K +1.64%G +0.222%4.3%2026-04-13 00:28
Dabble (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.07%E -6.67%K -117.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.01%E +1.22%K +1.38%G +0.152%5.5%2026-04-13 00:39
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV +8.67%E +0.984%K +1.11%G +0.096%3.1%2026-04-13 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +5.34%E +0.625%K +0.708%G +0.038%4.3%2026-04-13 00:39
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 88.67%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%8.53I 11.72%NM 11.33%EV +5.21%E +0.611%K +0.692%G +0.036%3.5%2026-04-13 00:39
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +4.84%E +0.570%K +0.646%G +0.031%4.4%2026-04-13 00:40
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +4.84%E +0.570%K +0.646%G +0.031%4.4%2026-04-13 00:39
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +4.84%E +0.570%K +0.646%G +0.031%4.4%2026-04-13 00:39
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.20%E -5.79%K -88.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +4.84%E +0.570%K +0.646%G +0.031%5.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Betsson1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.20%E -5.79%K -88.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +4.84%E +0.570%K +0.646%G +0.031%5.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.07%E -6.67%K -117.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +4.84%E +0.570%K +0.646%G +0.031%6.1%2026-04-13 00:32
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV +2.38%E +0.286%K +0.326%G +0.008%4.6%2026-04-13 00:40
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +1.76%E +0.213%K +0.243%G +0.004%4.7%2026-04-13 00:39
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV -0.090%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-13 00:39
ReBet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -0.090%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:29
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:40
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:39
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Caesars1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.20%E -5.79%K -88.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.20%E -5.79%K -88.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -1.32%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:40
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 87.87%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%7.82I 12.79%NM 12.13%EV -3.54%E -0.453%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 00:33
Codere (IT)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -3.79%E -0.486%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:30
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.07%E -6.67%K -117.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -4.41%E -0.569%K -0.653%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.69%E -2.42%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:40
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:40
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:39
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:40
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:39
Hard Rock Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:39
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 00:29
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 00:39
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 00:29
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.49%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 00:29
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -2.69%E -2.42%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -11.19%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:29
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -2.69%E -2.42%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -12.42%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.69%E -2.42%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.66%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.66%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:39
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.20%E -5.79%K -88.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.66%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 00:40
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 86.54%EV -7.95%E -7.57%K -159.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -16.74%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 00:40
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.69%E -2.42%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.83%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 00:39
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.83%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.57%E -3.24%K -35.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.83%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -19.83%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -22.91%E -3.67%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -2.69%E -2.42%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -25.99%E -4.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 00:40
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -25.99%E -4.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 90.45%10.51I 9.51%NM 9.55%-0.4%2026-04-13 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%0.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-13 00:40
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-13 00:40
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-13 00:40
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-13 00:40
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.9%2026-04-13 00:40
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 89.38%9.17I 10.91%NM 10.62%2.6%2026-04-13 00:38
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%2.8%2026-04-13 00:40