La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Lakers v Phoenix Suns

Inicio: 2026-04-11 02:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Predicción 45.44%2.20momio equitativo
EV +2.25%
Ventaja +1.00%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.89%45.30%45.69%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.102.102.2551.28%47.56%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Predicción 54.56%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.70%54.31%57.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.751.8059.88%57.41%57.31%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.25%E +1.00%K +1.80%G +0.041%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.80%E -4.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 02:40
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV +0.433%E +0.196%K +0.358%G +0.002%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -7.80%E -4.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 02:29
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.022%E -0.010%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 02:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.022%E -0.010%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 02:40
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.022%E -0.010%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 02:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.022%E -0.010%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.022%E -0.010%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 02:40
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.476%E -0.217%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 02:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.930%E -0.427%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -3.92%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 02:39
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.84%E -0.852%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 02:40
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:39
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:37
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:39
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:39
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:39
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:40
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 02:30
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.16%E -3.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 02:40
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 02:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 02:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.29%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.89%E -5.32%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 02:40
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 02:40
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.20%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 02:39
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 02:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 02:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 02:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 02:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 02:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 02:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 02:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 02:39
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 02:39
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.44%E -1.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 02:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 02:29
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 02:33
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 02:40
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.57%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.71%E -3.92%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 02:40
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.02%E -2.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 02:33
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.89%E -1.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 02:36
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 02:40
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 02:40
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 02:40
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.98%E -2.26%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 02:40
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 02:39
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 02:40
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.93%E -2.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 02:40
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.93%E -2.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 02:40
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.93%E -2.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 02:40
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.93%E -2.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.38%E -3.10%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 02:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 02:33
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 02:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 02:31
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.62%E -3.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 02:40
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.20%E -4.06%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.16%E -3.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 02:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.11%E -4.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.11%E -4.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.11%E -4.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.11%E -4.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:29
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.11%E -4.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.11%E -4.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.07%E -2.92%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 02:40
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -10.47%E -5.32%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 02:40
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -11.38%E -5.84%K -11.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -6.71%E -3.92%K -9.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 02:36
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-04-11 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-04-11 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-04-11 02:40
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-04-11 02:40
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-11 02:29
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-04-11 02:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-11 02:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-11 02:40
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-04-11 02:40