La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Lakers v Orlando Magic

Inicio: 2026-02-25 03:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Predicción 67.73%1.48momio equitativo
EV +0.235%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.489%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.01%67.74%67.87%69.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.411.401.4872.99%71.03%71.43%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Predicción 32.27%3.10momio equitativo
EV +3.28%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.13%32.26%32.13%34.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.952.953.2036.36%33.94%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +3.28%E +1.02%K +1.49%G +0.049%3.7%2026-02-25 03:38
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.15%E -2.20%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV +0.049%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-25 02:25
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.049%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 03:34
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.049%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 03:40
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.049%E +0.016%K +0.023%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 03:29
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -0.274%E -0.089%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 03:39
Bet Victor1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.56%E -0.513%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 03:36
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.56%E -0.513%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 03:35
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.56%E -0.513%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 03:19
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -1.89%E -0.621%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 02:20
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -2.21%E -0.729%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-25 03:14
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -3.15%E -2.20%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -2.53%E -0.839%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-25 03:39
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -2.53%E -0.839%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-25 03:14
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 03:40
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 03:39
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 03:15
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 03:39
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 03:14
TAB1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 03:40
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:24
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:34
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:39
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:29
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.22%E -5.27%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 03:10
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:15
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.15%E -2.20%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 03:15
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 03:15
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 03:14
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 03:14
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 03:15
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:15
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 03:19
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:24
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:15
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:15
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:14
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:15
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 03:15
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 02:55
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 02:55
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 02:55
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 03:19
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 03:15
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 03:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 03:15
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 03:15
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.22%E -5.27%K -19.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 03:29
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.05%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 02:24
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.05%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 03:29
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.05%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 03:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.05%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.05%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 03:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.37%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 03:14
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.37%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 03:14
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.47%E -1.72%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.02%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 03:39
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.47%E -1.72%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.02%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 03:39
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.18%E -3.70%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.02%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 03:34
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.86%E -4.22%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.02%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 03:40
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.02%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 02:55
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.02%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 03:35
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV +0.235%E +0.159%K +0.489%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 03:37
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.47%E -1.72%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 03:14
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -7.22%E -5.27%K -19.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-25 03:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.46I 68.49%NM 68.60%3.19I 31.35%NM 31.40%-0.2%2026-02-25 03:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-02-25 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-02-25 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-02-25 03:40
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-02-25 03:35
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-02-25 03:29
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-02-25 03:40
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-02-25 03:39
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.00%3.16I 31.65%NM 31.00%2.1%2026-02-25 03:40
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-02-25 03:40