La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Lakers v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-03-11 03:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Predicción 43.62%2.29momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +2.17%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.15%43.52%43.59%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.46%45.45%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 56.38%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.775%
Ventaja -0.440%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%56.48%56.41%58.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.691.691.7660.61%59.24%59.17%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV +2.95%E +1.25%K +2.17%G +0.064%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-11 03:10
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +2.51%E +1.07%K +1.86%G +0.047%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 03:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.331%E +0.144%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 03:05
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.331%E +0.144%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 03:05
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.331%E +0.144%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 03:05
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.331%E +0.144%K +0.254%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 03:10
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.106%E -0.046%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-11 03:09
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.542%E -0.238%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 02:58
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-11 03:02
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-11 02:59
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-11 03:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 01:25
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 03:05
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 03:10
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 03:05
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 03:10
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 03:10
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.29%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-11 01:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.72%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:50
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.72%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:50
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.72%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:50
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.72%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:55
ReBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.16%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 01:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 03:10
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 03:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 03:10
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 01:30
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 03:00
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:55
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:55
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:55
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:55
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 01:25
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 03:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 03:05
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 03:05
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.47%E -2.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 01:30
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.90%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 02:58
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.90%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 02:55
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.90%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 02:55
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.90%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.34%E -2.46%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 02:55
Unibet (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.78%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 02:49
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -0.775%E -0.440%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 03:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.34%E -0.765%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:58
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:52
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 01:25
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:55
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 01:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 03:00
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -6.65%E -3.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 02:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.47%E -1.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 02:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.47%E -1.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 03:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 03:10
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 03:04
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 03:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 03:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 03:05
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 02:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.57%E -5.16%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 03:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%0.1%2026-03-11 02:59
Novig2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-03-11 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-03-11 03:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-11 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-03-11 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-03-11 03:10
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-03-11 03:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-03-11 03:05
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.7%2026-03-11 03:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%3.4%2026-03-11 03:10