La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Lakers v Houston Rockets

Inicio: 2026-04-19 00:50 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Lakers 107–98 Houston Rockets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Predicción 43.84%2.28momio equitativo
EV +0.839%
Ventaja +0.365%
Kelly +0.645%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%43.83%43.73%45.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.032.182.192.3049.26%45.86%45.66%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Rockets (Visitante)

Predicción 56.16%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.986%
Kelly -2.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.86%56.17%56.27%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.03%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.839%E +0.365%K +0.645%G +0.005%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 00:43
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +0.400%E +0.175%K +0.310%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 00:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 00:45
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.03%E -5.57%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 00:45
theScore Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.79%E -0.800%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 00:45
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 00:45
SportsBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:45
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 00:45
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:45
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:45
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:45
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:42
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:45
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 00:45
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 00:45
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 00:45
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 00:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 00:45
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 00:44
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 00:45
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 00:45
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 00:45
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:45
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:45
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:45
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:45
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 00:45
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 00:31
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 00:31
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.86%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 00:44
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.86%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 00:45
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.86%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.30%E -2.45%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 00:45
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 00:42
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:44
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:44
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 00:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 00:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 00:45
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 00:44
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.05%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -6.78%E -4.08%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 00:45
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 00:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 00:45
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 00:44
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -9.03%E -5.57%K -14.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 00:45
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -11.00%E -5.42%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-04-19 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-04-19 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-19 00:45
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.61%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%0.7%2026-04-19 00:45
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-04-19 00:45
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-19 00:45
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-19 00:45
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-04-19 00:45
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-04-19 00:45