La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Clippers v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-04-09 02:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Clippers (Local)

Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV +5.13%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.084%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.93%25.29%25.44%27.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.763.754.1529.41%26.56%26.67%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 74.67%1.34momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -9.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.92%74.71%74.56%77.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.291.3081.97%78.31%77.52%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +5.13%E +1.24%K +1.63%G +0.084%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 02:09
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +3.86%E +0.943%K +1.25%G +0.048%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 02:09
Paddy Power4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.86%E +0.943%K +1.25%G +0.048%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.91%E -7.30%K -40.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.86%E +0.943%K +1.25%G +0.048%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.91%E -7.30%K -40.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 02:09
LowVig.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV +2.34%E +0.580%K +0.771%G +0.018%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.08%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 02:09
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV +1.33%E +0.333%K +0.444%G +0.006%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 02:09
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.33%E +0.333%K +0.444%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 02:09
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +1.33%E +0.333%K +0.444%G +0.006%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.33%E +0.333%K +0.444%G +0.006%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 02:09
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.33%E +0.333%K +0.444%G +0.006%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 02:09
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.33%E +0.333%K +0.444%G +0.006%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 02:09
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.33%E +0.333%K +0.444%G +0.006%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 02:09
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +1.08%E +0.270%K +0.361%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 02:09
DraftKings3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +0.065%E +0.016%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 02:09
GTbets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +0.065%E +0.016%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 02:09
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.20%E -0.308%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 02:09
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.20%E -0.308%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.20%E -0.308%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 02:09
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.20%E -0.308%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 02:09
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.20%E -0.308%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 02:09
Dabble (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.47%E -0.641%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 02:09
Pinnacle3.81I 26.25%NM 25.44%EV -3.48%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.56%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 02:09
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.74%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 02:08
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.74%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 02:09
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.74%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 02:09
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.74%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.74%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 01:59
Fliff3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.74%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.74%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 02:09
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 01:59
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 02:02
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 02:09
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 01:59
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 02:09
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 02:09
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 02:09
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 02:09
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 02:09
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 02:02
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 02:00
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 02:01
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -7.54%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 02:09
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -7.54%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 02:04
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 02:09
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 02:09
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 02:10
Bally Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 02:09
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 01:59
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 02:00
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 02:09
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 02:09
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 02:09
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 02:09
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 02:01
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 01:59
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 01:59
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 02:09
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 02:09
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.93%E -2.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 02:09
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 02:09
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 02:09
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 02:08
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 02:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 23.01%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.99%-0.1%2026-04-09 02:09
BetOpenly4.35I 22.99%NM 23.01%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.99%-0.1%2026-04-09 01:59
Novig4.31I 23.20%NM 23.17%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.83%0.1%2026-04-09 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-09 02:10
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-09 02:10
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-04-09 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-04-09 02:10
Polymarket4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-04-09 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-04-09 02:09
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-04-09 02:10