La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Clippers v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-02-27 03:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Clippers (Local)

Predicción 26.40%3.79momio equitativo
EV +6.68%
Ventaja +1.65%
Kelly +2.20%
Crecimiento +0.147%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.92%26.30%26.38%28.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.604.0430.30%27.56%27.78%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 73.60%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -6.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.27%73.70%73.62%76.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.301.3380.00%77.36%76.92%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV +6.68%E +1.65%K +2.20%G +0.147%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.08%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 03:09
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +5.62%E +1.40%K +1.87%G +0.105%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 03:09
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +5.35%E +1.34%K +1.79%G +0.096%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 03:10
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +4.30%E +1.09%K +1.46%G +0.063%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.80%E -4.53%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 03:09
Fliff3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +4.30%E +1.09%K +1.46%G +0.063%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -7.27%E -5.77%K -27.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 03:10
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +2.98%E +0.764%K +1.03%G +0.031%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-27 03:09
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.338%E +0.089%K +0.121%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 03:09
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.982%E -0.262%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 03:09
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.982%E -0.262%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 03:07
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.982%E -0.262%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.80%E -4.53%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 03:09
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.982%E -0.262%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.80%E -4.53%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 03:10
Marathon Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.982%E -0.262%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.80%E -4.53%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 03:00
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.982%E -0.262%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.01%E -6.40%K -32.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 03:10
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 03:09
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 03:09
TAB3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 03:10
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 03:09
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 03:09
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 03:10
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 03:09
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 03:09
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.27%E -5.77%K -27.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 03:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.30%E -0.622%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.01%E -6.40%K -32.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 03:10
Pinnacle3.69I 27.10%NM 26.35%EV -2.57%E -0.696%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.65%EV -2.85%E -2.16%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-27 03:09
FanDuel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.62%E -0.993%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:09
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.62%E -0.993%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 03:09
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.62%E -0.993%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.80%E -4.53%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 03:10
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.85%E -2.16%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 02:59
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.59%E -2.74%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 03:08
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.59%E -2.74%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 03:09
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 03:10
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 03:09
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 03:10
Bally Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 03:09
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 03:09
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 03:10
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 03:09
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.80%E -4.53%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 03:09
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.01%E -6.40%K -32.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 03:09
GTbets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.85%E -2.16%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 03:09
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 03:09
888sport3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 02:59
Betr (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 03:09
Mr Green (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 02:59
888sport (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 03:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.59%E -2.74%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 03:00
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.59%E -2.74%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 03:01
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.59%E -2.74%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 03:09
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.59%E -2.74%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 03:09
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.59%E -2.74%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 03:09
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.59%E -2.74%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 03:09
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 03:00
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 03:09
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 03:09
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 03:04
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.80%E -4.53%K -20.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 03:09
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 03:10
MyBookie.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -7.85%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -3.59%E -2.74%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 03:04
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.33%E -3.33%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 03:09
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 03:10
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -11.54%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 03:01
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.86%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.12%E -1.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 03:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-02-27 03:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-02-27 03:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-02-27 03:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-02-27 03:09
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-02-27 03:09
Polymarket3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-02-27 03:10
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%1.4%2026-02-27 03:10
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-02-27 03:09
Novig3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81%2.0%2026-02-27 03:06
BetOpenly2.55I 39.22%NM 34.45%1.34I 74.63%NM 65.55%13.8%2026-02-27 02:59