默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Rockets v Utah Jazz

2026-11-14 01:40 UTC — NBA

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

90%

10%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Rockets (主队)

预测 89.77%1.11公平赔率

EV -2.15%

优势 -1.97%

Kelly -23.90%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.09

博彩公司预测分布

83.47%89.47%89.92%92.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.011.061.061.0999.01%94.69%94.34%91.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Utah Jazz (客队)

预测 10.23%9.78公平赔率

EV +23.78%

优势 +1.97%

Kelly +2.14%

增长率 +0.510%

假设最高赔率为 12.10

博彩公司预测分布

7.98%10.53%10.08%16.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

5.209.039.5012.1019.23%11.08%10.53%8.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Houston Rockets (主队)：89.77%；Utah Jazz (客队)：10.23%。对于“Utah Jazz (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.78。有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为12.10，由此产生+23.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 92.02%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	12.10I 8.26%NM 7.98%EV +23.78%E +1.97%K +2.14%G +0.510%	3.5%	2026-11-13 01:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +12.53%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.157%	4.3%	2026-11-13 01:15
Pinnacle🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.99%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	10.71I 9.34%NM 9.01%EV +9.56%E +0.893%K +0.985%G +0.094%	3.7%	2026-11-13 01:20
Fanatics🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.95%E -3.69%K -56.37%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +2.30%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%	3.5%	2026-11-12 23:45
SportsBet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.30%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%	4.3%	2026-11-13 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.30%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%	4.3%	2026-11-13 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.30%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%	4.3%	2026-11-13 01:15
DraftKings🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.30%E +0.230%K +0.256%G +0.006%	4.3%	2026-11-12 23:44
GTbets🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 90.20%EV -3.95%E -3.69%K -56.37%G +0.000%	9.85I 10.15%NM 9.80%EV +0.767%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%	3.6%	2026-11-13 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.95%E -3.69%K -56.37%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-12 22:35
PlayUp🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-12 22:35
888sport🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-13 01:10
William Hill🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-13 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-13 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-13 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-12 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-12 23:10
BetRivers🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-12 23:10
Unibet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-12 23:10
betPARX🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-12 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-12 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-12 23:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-12 23:10
Bovada🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-13 01:20
Marathon Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-13 01:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-12 23:10
TABtouch🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-12 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.64%E -6.38%K -165.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-12 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.64%E -6.38%K -165.98%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.81%E -0.296%K -0.331%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-12 23:10
ReBet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -3.84%E -0.408%K -0.457%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-13 01:34
FanDuel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.68%EV -3.95%E -3.69%K -56.37%G +0.000%	9.30I 10.75%NM 10.32%EV -4.86%E -0.523%K -0.586%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-13 01:55
Caesars🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.95%E -3.69%K -56.37%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.93%E -0.881%K -0.991%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-13 01:10
TAB🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.95%E -3.69%K -56.37%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.93%E -0.881%K -0.991%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-13 01:19
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.93%E -0.881%K -0.991%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-13 01:10
PMU (FR)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 89.91%EV -9.33%E -9.24%K -933.24%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -7.93%E -0.881%K -0.991%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-12 23:10
Sky Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.84%E -4.57%K -80.73%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.04%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-13 01:40
picklebet_au🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.04%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-13 01:35
betfred_uk🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.04%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-13 01:30
BoyleSports🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.04%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-13 00:29
Casumo🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.64%E -6.38%K -165.98%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.04%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-11-13 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.15%E -1.97%K -23.90%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -18.16%E -2.27%K -2.59%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-12 22:45
Paddy Power🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.95%E -3.69%K -56.37%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.16%E -2.27%K -2.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-13 01:55
Betsson🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.95%E -3.69%K -56.37%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.16%E -2.27%K -2.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-12 22:45
NordicBet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.95%E -3.69%K -56.37%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.16%E -2.27%K -2.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-12 22:45
betano_uk🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.16%E -2.27%K -2.59%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-13 00:23
Bet Victor🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.16%E -2.27%K -2.59%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-13 00:24
Codere (IT)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -6.64%E -6.38%K -165.98%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -28.39%E -4.06%K -4.73%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-11-12 22:35
LeoVegas🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 86.54%EV -5.74%E -5.47%K -114.83%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -30.95%E -4.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-13 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 86.65%EV -6.64%E -6.38%K -165.98%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -30.95%E -4.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-11-13 00:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.54%E -7.32%K -251.23%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 15.08%EV -40.67%E -7.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-11-13 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 83.47%EV -7.54%E -7.32%K -251.23%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 16.53%EV -46.80%E -9.00%K -11.14%G +0.000%	16.3%	2026-11-13 01:10

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	0.6%	2026-11-13 01:45
Polymarket◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	0.6%	2026-11-13 00:40
Novig◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	0.6%	2026-11-13 01:15
ProphetX◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%	1.3%	2026-11-13 01:10
Smarkets◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%	5.2%	2026-11-13 01:35

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