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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves

2026-11-05 01:40 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Predicción 74.84%1.34momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -9.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.43%74.91%74.80%76.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.261.271.3084.75%79.12%78.74%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 25.16%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.656%
Ventaja +0.164%
Kelly +0.219%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.09%25.20%27.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.763.804.0032.26%26.60%26.32%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Houston Rockets (Local): 74.84%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante): 25.16%. Para Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.97. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.656%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.656%E +0.164%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.4%2026-11-03 06:25
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.656%E +0.164%K +0.219%G +0.001%5.0%2026-11-03 05:10
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.656%E +0.164%K +0.219%G +0.001%5.0%2026-11-03 05:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.656%E +0.164%K +0.219%G +0.001%5.0%2026-11-03 05:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.656%E +0.164%K +0.219%G +0.001%5.0%2026-11-03 05:10
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.656%E +0.164%K +0.219%G +0.001%5.0%2026-11-03 06:33
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.86%E -0.477%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-03 05:15
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.86%E -0.477%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.86%E -0.477%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 06:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.86%E -0.477%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 05:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.86%E -0.477%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 05:25
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.12%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 05:10
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.12%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 05:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.12%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 05:15
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.12%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-03 05:09
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -3.62%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-03 05:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-03 05:14
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-03 05:59
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 05:10
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 05:10
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 05:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 05:15
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 05:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 05:15
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 05:15
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 05:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 06:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.90%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 05:15
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.96%E -3.90%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 05:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-03 05:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-03 05:35
betfred_uk🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.20%E -5.81%K -30.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 05:10
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-03 05:10
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.63%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 06:59
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.63%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.63%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-03 05:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.63%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-03 05:15
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-03 07:50
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.21%E -3.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-03 05:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 05:59
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 05:58
picklebet_au🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.20%E -5.81%K -30.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 05:10
betano_uk🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.20%E -5.81%K -30.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 05:09
Bet Victor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.20%E -5.81%K -30.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.89%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 05:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.71%E -2.09%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 05:20
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 05:10
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-03 05:15
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.46%E -5.16%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-03 05:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-03 05:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -10.67%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-03 05:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 05:20
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.46%E -2.68%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 05:30
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -7.20%E -5.81%K -30.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.18%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-03 07:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.63%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -50.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -15.70%E -4.69%K -6.68%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-03 05:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 72.43%EV -11.69%E -9.91%K -64.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -21.99%E -7.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-03 05:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-11-03 08:00
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-11-03 08:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-11-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-11-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-11-03 07:50
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%10.1%2026-11-03 07:15