Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Rockets v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-03-19 01:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Predicción 54.13%1.85momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.43%54.04%54.12%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.761.761.8058.48%56.86%56.82%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 45.87%2.18momio equitativo
EV -0.922%
Ventaja -0.427%
Kelly -0.795%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.44%45.96%45.88%47.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.942.082.102.1651.55%48.01%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Houston Rockets (Local): 54.13%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante): 45.87%. Para Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.18. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.16, con un valor esperado de -0.922%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 01:38
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 01:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 01:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -3.11%E -1.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -3.11%E -1.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 01:40
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.11%E -1.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 01:29
Bet Right🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.11%E -1.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.88%E -3.39%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 01:40
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.65%E -2.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.922%E -0.427%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-19 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.65%E -2.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.65%E -2.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.65%E -2.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.13%E -1.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.65%E -2.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 01:40
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.65%E -2.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.43%E -3.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 01:40
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.65%E -2.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.43%E -3.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:40
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:40
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:39
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.51%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 01:31
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 01:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.76%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.76%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.76%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.76%E -1.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -11.01%E -5.68%K -11.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 01:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 01:40
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 01:40
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 01:40
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 01:40
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 01:40
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:38
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:39
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.30%E -1.08%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 01:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 01:28
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 01:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.81%E -3.34%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 01:39
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.59%E -2.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.88%E -3.39%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 01:33
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.90%E -4.01%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 01:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.90%E -4.01%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.34%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 01:28
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.44%E -4.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 01:40
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.44%E -4.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 01:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-03-19 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-03-19 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-03-19 01:40
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-03-19 01:29
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%0.5%2026-03-19 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-19 01:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-19 01:40
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-03-19 01:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-03-19 01:40
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-19 01:40