مدرسة الاحتمالات

Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors

البداية: 2026-03-06 00:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Houston Rockets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 77.26%1.29السعر العادل
EV -3.43%
الأفضلية -2.74%
Kelly -13.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.40%77.27%77.21%78.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.231.241.2583.33%81.05%80.65%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Golden State Warriors (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.74%4.40السعر العادل
EV +3.48%
الأفضلية +0.766%
Kelly +0.982%
النمو +0.034%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.01%22.73%22.79%24.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.184.204.5526.32%23.91%23.81%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -6.52%E -5.39%K -31.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV +3.48%E +0.766%K +0.982%G +0.034%4.6%2026-03-06 00:40
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.28%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.72%EV +1.67%E +0.373%K +0.480%G +0.008%3.0%2026-03-06 00:39
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +1.21%E +0.272%K +0.351%G +0.004%4.4%2026-03-06 00:38
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +0.073%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:40
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +0.073%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +0.073%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 00:29
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.29%E -6.08%K -36.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +0.073%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 00:40
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.14%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.86%EV -0.836%E -0.192%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 00:32
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -1.52%E -0.351%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -2.20%E -0.512%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.20%E -0.512%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:40
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.20%E -0.512%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.20%E -0.512%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.20%E -0.512%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:40
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.20%E -0.512%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:40
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.20%E -0.512%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:40
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.34%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.34%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 00:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.34%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.34%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:39
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 00:40
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 00:39
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 00:40
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:29
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:39
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:40
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:40
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:40
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:31
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:40
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.48%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:38
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -5.61%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 00:39
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:40
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:40
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 00:40
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 00:40
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.98%E -4.04%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 00:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 00:40
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 00:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 00:40
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.29%E -6.08%K -36.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:28
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:40
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.52%E -5.39%K -31.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:40
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:39
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.43%E -2.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.20%E -3.39%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.57%E -3.57%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:37
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.75%E -4.71%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.57%E -3.57%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 00:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-03-06 00:40
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-03-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-03-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-03-06 00:40
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 79.37%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.63%0.8%2026-03-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-06 00:40
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 77.39%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.61%1.0%2026-03-06 00:29
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-03-06 00:40