La escuela de los momios

Golden State Warriors v Washington Wizards

Inicio: 2026-03-28 02:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 84.28%1.19momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -8.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.40%84.09%84.32%85.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.131.131.1793.46%88.33%88.50%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Wizards (Visitante)

Predicción 15.72%6.36momio equitativo
EV +2.17%
Ventaja +0.334%
Kelly +0.395%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.47%15.91%15.68%18.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.906.036.006.5020.41%16.57%16.67%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.17%E +0.334%K +0.395%G +0.009%4.7%2026-03-27 22:24
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.17%E +0.334%K +0.395%G +0.009%4.7%2026-03-27 22:24
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.17%E +0.334%K +0.395%G +0.009%4.7%2026-03-28 01:25
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.17%E +0.334%K +0.395%G +0.009%4.7%2026-03-27 22:30
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.45%E -5.81%K -58.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.17%E +0.334%K +0.395%G +0.009%5.5%2026-03-27 23:25
Dabble (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.45%E -5.81%K -58.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.17%E +0.334%K +0.395%G +0.009%5.5%2026-03-28 01:20
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.29%E -6.63%K -72.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.17%E +0.334%K +0.395%G +0.009%6.3%2026-03-27 22:25
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 85.02%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.98%EV +1.70%E +0.263%K +0.311%G +0.005%3.2%2026-03-28 01:55
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.92%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 15.08%EV +0.916%E +0.143%K +0.169%G +0.002%3.3%2026-03-28 02:05
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.602%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-28 01:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.602%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-28 01:59
ReBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.602%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-28 01:59
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +0.602%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-28 01:58
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.03%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 14.97%EV -0.027%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 01:55
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -0.341%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.970%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:55
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.970%E -0.154%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:45
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:45
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:55
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:55
Everygame1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.76%E -0.281%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:55
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 84.30%EV -2.23%E -1.93%K -13.96%G +0.000%6.23I 16.05%NM 15.70%EV -2.07%E -0.332%K -0.396%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -2.54%E -0.410%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:00
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -2.54%E -0.410%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -2.54%E -0.410%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 02:05
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.11%E -0.674%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:05
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.11%E -0.674%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:00
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:45
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:45
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:45
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:44
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 22:30
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:03
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:55
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:55
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.45%E -5.81%K -58.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 22:25
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -9.82%E -9.18%K -140.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -5.69%E -0.948%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 01:55
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -6.47%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:05
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -6.47%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:55
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.08%E -2.68%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -7.26%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:05
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.23%E -1.93%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -8.83%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:00
Bet Victor1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.23%E -1.93%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -8.83%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 01:59
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.08%E -2.68%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -8.83%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:00
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.83%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.83%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 01:45
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.83%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.83%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 01:45
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.08%E -2.68%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:00
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.76%E -4.21%K -36.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.62%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 01:50
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -1.39%E -1.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 02:05
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.08%E -2.68%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:05
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.08%E -2.68%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:05
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:05
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:05
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:00
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -8.13%E -7.46%K -90.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.55%E -2.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-28 01:45
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.92%E -3.44%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -16.69%E -3.15%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-28 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -5.61%E -5.00%K -46.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -22.98%E -4.69%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-28 02:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.16I 86.21%NM 86.45%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.55%-0.3%2026-03-28 01:59
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-28 02:05
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-28 02:04
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-28 01:29
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-03-28 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-03-28 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-03-28 02:05
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-03-28 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-03-28 02:05
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-03-28 02:05