La escuela de los momios

Golden State Warriors v Chicago Bulls

Inicio: 2026-03-11 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 66.26%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -4.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.07%66.18%66.31%67.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.441.441.4871.94%69.28%69.44%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Bulls (Visitante)

Predicción 33.74%2.96momio equitativo
EV -0.458%
Ventaja -0.155%
Kelly -0.235%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.49%33.82%33.69%35.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.812.802.9539.22%35.61%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.94%E -1.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:10
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.94%E -1.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 02:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.94%E -1.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 02:10
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -2.82%E -0.979%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-11 02:09
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 02:07
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 02:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.51%E -1.59%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 02:09
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.60%E -1.77%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:10
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.26%E -2.24%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.84%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 02:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.26%E -2.24%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.26%E -2.24%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 02:00
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.26%E -2.24%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -8.22%E -3.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 02:10
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.49%E -1.22%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:10
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:10
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:10
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:09
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:10
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:08
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:09
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.14%E -0.740%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 02:10
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 02:10
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 02:00
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 02:09
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 02:10
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 02:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 02:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 02:08
Parions Sport (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.458%E -0.155%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 02:00
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -1.13%E -0.387%K -0.587%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 01:59
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.14%E -0.740%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 01:59
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.14%E -0.740%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 02:10
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -5.25%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -13.96%E -5.47%K -9.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 02:08
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.458%E -0.155%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:10
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.14%E -0.740%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 02:02
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.14%E -0.740%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.52%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 02:10
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 02:10
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.21%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 01:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.82%E -0.979%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 01:59
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -7.90%E -5.69%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -4.84%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 02:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%0.0%2026-03-11 01:59
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-11 02:10
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59%1.6%2026-03-11 02:10
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-03-11 02:10