Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Pistons v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-03-26 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 64.44%1.55momio equitativo
EV -0.122%
Ventaja -0.079%
Kelly -0.222%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.95%64.46%64.59%66.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.481.481.5569.44%67.49%67.57%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 35.56%2.81momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.475%
Kelly +0.732%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.57%35.54%35.41%37.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.482.692.702.8540.32%37.19%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Detroit Pistons (Local): 64.44%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante): 35.56%. Para New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.81. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.35%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +1.35%E +0.475%K +0.732%G +0.010%3.1%2026-03-26 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.35%E +0.475%K +0.732%G +0.010%4.5%2026-03-26 23:09
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +0.642%E +0.227%K +0.351%G +0.002%3.4%2026-03-26 23:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +0.642%E +0.227%K +0.351%G +0.002%3.4%2026-03-26 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -0.069%E -0.025%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-26 23:09
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.425%E -0.152%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.425%E -0.152%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.425%E -0.152%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.425%E -0.152%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.425%E -0.152%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 23:10
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.425%E -0.152%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.14%E -0.409%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:09
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 23:02
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 23:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.20%E -0.801%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 22:59
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 23:09
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.69%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -0.122%E -0.079%K -0.222%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -5.76%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 23:08
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.76%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.76%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.76%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:00
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.76%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.63%E -3.13%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.76%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.76%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.11%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.11%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.47%E -2.46%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.47%E -2.46%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.47%E -2.46%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.83%E -2.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.41%E -0.922%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.06%E -1.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.06%E -1.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:09
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.54%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 23:09
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.32%E -3.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.34%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.32%E -3.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -11.80%E -4.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-03-26 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-03-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-03-26 23:10
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-03-26 23:09
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-03-26 23:10
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-26 23:10
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-03-26 23:10
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-03-26 23:10
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%1.5%2026-03-26 23:10