La escuela de los momios

Detroit Pistons v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-05-14 00:10 UTC

Final: Detroit Pistons 113–117 Cleveland Cavaliers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 60.20%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.666%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%60.19%60.22%61.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.591.591.6565.79%63.09%62.89%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 39.80%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.506%
Ventaja -0.202%
Kelly -0.337%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.42%39.81%39.78%41.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.79%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -0.666%E -0.404%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:49
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 00:00
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.30%E -0.525%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 23:50
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 22:50
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.69%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 00:05
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 00:05
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 00:05
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 00:05
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 00:05
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.07%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 17:50
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 23:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 23:05
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:40
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:40
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 00:00
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 00:05
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.506%E -0.202%K -0.337%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-13 21:15
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.506%E -0.202%K -0.337%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-14 00:00
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 00:05
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 21:10
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.69%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 21:09
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:50
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:45
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.68%E -2.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 23:55
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 00:05
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:55
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.30%E -0.525%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -1.70%E -0.688%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 21:14
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.10%E -0.853%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 00:05
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 23:45
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 00:05
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 00:05
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 00:00
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 03:30
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 00:00
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 03:29
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 03:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 03:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -7.27%E -3.12%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.506%E -0.202%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 00:05
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.506%E -0.202%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 23:25
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:30
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 23:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 00:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:30
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -9.26%E -4.06%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 00:05
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-14 00:05
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-14 00:05
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-14 00:00
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-05-14 00:05
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-05-14 00:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-13 03:10
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-12 10:30
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%2.9%2026-05-14 00:05