Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets v Portland Trail Blazers

2026-11-03 02:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

61%

39%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 61.19%1.63momio equitativo

EV -0.871%

Ventaja -0.537%

Kelly -1.40%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

58.14%61.28%61.23%63.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.421.551.571.6270.42%64.45%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 38.81%2.58momio equitativo

EV +1.29%

Ventaja +0.495%

Kelly +0.802%

Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

36.59%38.72%38.77%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.152.442.432.6146.51%41.03%41.15%38.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Denver Nuggets (Local): 61.19%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante): 38.81%. Para Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.58. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.61, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.29%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
1xBet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.03%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV +1.29%E +0.495%K +0.802%G +0.010%	3.7%	2026-11-02 02:10
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.21%E -5.48%K -16.43%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.904%E +0.348%K +0.565%G +0.005%	5.1%	2026-11-02 02:00
William Hill🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.21%E -5.48%K -16.43%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.904%E +0.348%K +0.565%G +0.005%	5.1%	2026-11-02 02:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.21%E -5.48%K -16.43%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.904%E +0.348%K +0.565%G +0.005%	5.1%	2026-11-02 02:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.21%E -5.48%K -16.43%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.904%E +0.348%K +0.565%G +0.005%	5.1%	2026-11-02 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -6.99%E -4.60%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV +0.516%E +0.199%K +0.324%G +0.002%	4.4%	2026-11-02 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.15%E -3.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.04%E -0.407%K -0.669%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-02 02:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.81%E -0.717%K -1.18%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-02 01:15
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.98%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-02 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.98%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-02 02:05
ReBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.77%E -3.74%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.98%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 02:05
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.03%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.98%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-02 01:09
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.99%E -4.60%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.98%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 01:10
Coolbet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-02 01:10
Caesars🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-02 01:05
GTbets🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.71%E -1.70%K -4.59%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.92%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-02 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.71%E -1.70%K -4.59%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.92%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-02 01:30
TAB🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.32%E -2.10%K -5.72%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.92%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-02 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.32%E -2.10%K -5.72%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.92%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-02 01:20
Fanatics🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.92%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-02 02:10
betfred_uk🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.03%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.92%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 01:10
picklebet_au🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.99%E -4.60%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.92%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-02 02:05
Unibet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.32%E -2.10%K -5.72%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-02 00:30
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-02 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-02 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-02 00:30
betPARX🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-02 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-02 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-02 00:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-02 00:30
DraftKings🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.71%E -1.70%K -4.59%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-02 00:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.48%E -0.921%K -2.43%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-02 00:20
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.09%E -1.31%K -3.49%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-02 01:20
SportsBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.09%E -1.31%K -3.49%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-02 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.71%E -1.70%K -4.59%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-02 01:00
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.71%E -1.70%K -4.59%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-02 01:10
PlayUp🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.32%E -2.10%K -5.72%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-02 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 00:30
TABtouch🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.54%E -2.91%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 00:30
NordicBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.15%E -3.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 01:20
Betsson🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.15%E -3.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 01:20
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.21%E -5.48%K -16.43%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-02 01:09
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.21%E -5.48%K -16.43%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-02 01:08
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.93%E -2.50%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-02 01:15
Virgin Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.15%E -3.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-02 00:30
Bet Right🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.09%E -1.31%K -3.49%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.80%E -3.74%K -6.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.44%E -6.38%K -19.66%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.80%E -3.74%K -6.52%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-02 02:05
Codere (IT)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.44%E -6.38%K -19.66%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.80%E -3.74%K -6.52%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-02 01:10
PMU (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.21%E -5.48%K -16.43%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-02 00:30
LeoVegas🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.21%E -5.48%K -16.43%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-02 01:15
Sky Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.871%E -0.537%K -1.40%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.68%E -5.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 60.22%EV -13.11%E -9.23%K -31.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 39.78%EV -16.56%E -7.70%K -14.40%G +0.000%	16.9%	2026-11-02 01:10

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Kalshi◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%	2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%	-0.1%	2026-11-02 00:10
BetOpenly◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%	0.2%	2026-11-02 01:30
Novig◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%	2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%	0.9%	2026-11-02 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%	0.9%	2026-11-02 02:25
Polymarket◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.2%	2026-11-02 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%	1.2%	2026-11-02 02:25
ProphetX◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%	1.4%	2026-11-02 02:10
Matchbook◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%	3.9%	2026-11-02 02:25
Smarkets◎	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%	7.1%	2026-11-02 02:25