A Escola das Odds

Denver Nuggets v Memphis Grizzlies

Início: 2026-04-09 01:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Previsão 94.81%1.05odd justa
EV -2.34%
Vantagem -2.27%
Kelly -78.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
92.79%94.66%94.91%96.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.58%99.01%97.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Memphis Grizzlies (Visitante)

Previsão 5.19%19.28odd justa
EV +34.85%
Vantagem +1.34%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.486%

pressupondo odds máximas de 26.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.74%5.34%5.09%7.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
13.0018.2119.0026.007.69%5.49%5.26%3.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%EV +34.85%E +1.34%K +1.39%G +0.486%1.9%2026-04-08 21:09
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +34.85%E +1.34%K +1.39%G +0.486%2.9%2026-04-09 00:59
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +34.85%E +1.34%K +1.39%G +0.486%2.9%2026-04-08 22:55
Pinnacle1.02I 98.04%NM 96.15%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%25.44I 3.93%NM 3.85%EV +31.95%E +1.26%K +1.31%G +0.418%2.0%2026-04-09 01:00
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 95.84%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%23.50I 4.26%NM 4.16%EV +21.88%E +0.931%K +0.973%G +0.213%2.3%2026-04-08 23:34
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +8.92%E +0.425%K +0.446%G +0.040%3.8%2026-04-08 22:55
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +8.92%E +0.425%K +0.446%G +0.040%3.8%2026-04-08 23:00
William Hill1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +8.92%E +0.425%K +0.446%G +0.040%3.8%2026-04-08 23:44
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +8.92%E +0.425%K +0.446%G +0.040%3.8%2026-04-08 22:59
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +8.92%E +0.425%K +0.446%G +0.040%3.8%2026-04-08 23:00
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +8.92%E +0.425%K +0.446%G +0.040%3.8%2026-04-09 00:54
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +8.92%E +0.425%K +0.446%G +0.040%3.8%2026-04-09 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.19%E -5.19%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +8.92%E +0.425%K +0.446%G +0.040%4.8%2026-04-09 00:54
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +3.73%E +0.187%K +0.196%G +0.007%3.0%2026-04-09 01:04
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +3.73%E +0.187%K +0.196%G +0.007%4.0%2026-04-08 23:00
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +3.73%E +0.187%K +0.196%G +0.007%4.0%2026-04-08 02:40
ReBet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.01%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%19.25I 5.19%NM 4.99%EV -0.159%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 00:15
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -2.34%E -2.27%K -78.07%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-08 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-09 01:04
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-09 00:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 16:59
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 00:49
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 22:59
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 01:04
GTbets1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 23:14
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.19%E -5.19%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 02:40
Coral1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.19%E -5.19%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -1.46%E -0.077%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 02:39
LowVig.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 94.67%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%18.11I 5.52%NM 5.33%EV -6.07%E -0.335%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 17:19
Bet Victor1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.34%E -2.27%K -78.07%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 00:48
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 01:04
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 22:05
Unibet (NL)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 22:25
Svenska Spel1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 22:25
ATG (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 22:25
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:19
Codere (IT)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 00:14
Marathon Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -11.83%E -0.696%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 00:59
BetOnline.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%16.52I 6.05%NM 5.82%EV -14.32%E -0.867%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%16.49I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -14.47%E -0.878%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 01:05
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 01:05
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 00:24
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 01:05
Unibet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 00:14
betPARX1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 00:14
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 00:14
Sky Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 01:05
BoyleSports1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 00:04
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -22.20%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 00:44
Bet Right1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -27.39%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 08:09
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -27.39%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:55
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.51%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -27.39%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -27.39%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 23:44
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.57%E -2.51%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 01:04
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.57%E -2.51%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 01:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.03I 97.09%NM 97.43%39.10I 2.56%NM 2.57%-0.4%2026-04-09 00:59
Polymarket1.03I 97.09%NM 97.20%35.71I 2.80%NM 2.80%-0.1%2026-04-09 01:04
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-04-09 00:50
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-04-09 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-04-09 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-04-09 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-04-09 00:45
Kalshi1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-04-09 00:50
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 96.94%32.26I 3.10%NM 3.06%1.1%2026-04-09 00:40
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40%1.5%2026-04-09 01:05