Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics

Inicio: 2026-02-26 03:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 57.96%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.71%57.88%57.99%59.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.641.651.6863.29%60.88%60.61%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Celtics (Visitante)

Predicción 42.04%2.38momio equitativo
EV -0.788%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -0.580%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%42.12%42.01%44.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.272.282.3648.78%44.02%43.86%42.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Denver Nuggets (Local): 57.96%; Boston Celtics (Visitante): 42.04%. Para Boston Celtics (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.38. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.36, con un valor esperado de -0.788%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.63%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.47%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 03:09
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.63%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 03:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.63%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 03:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 03:09
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 03:09
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 03:09
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 03:09
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 03:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 03:09
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 03:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 03:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 03:09
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 03:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 03:09
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.78%E -2.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -0.788%E -0.334%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 03:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.21%E -0.514%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 03:09
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.21%E -0.514%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 03:10
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:10
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:09
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 02:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 03:01
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 03:10
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 03:10
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 03:09
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 03:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 03:03
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 03:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 03:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.05%E -0.880%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 03:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.05%E -0.880%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 03:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.05%E -0.880%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 03:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.05%E -0.880%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 03:10
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 03:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.94%E -3.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 03:09
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 03:09
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 03:09
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 03:09
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 03:09
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 03:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 03:09
888sport🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 02:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 02:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.83%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 03:07
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -5.52%E -3.39%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -13.82%E -6.74%K -13.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-26 03:09
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.21%E -0.514%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 03:09
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.21%E -0.514%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 03:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 03:09
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 03:09
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 03:09
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 03:01
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 03:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.21%E -0.514%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 02:59
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 03:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.26%E -4.54%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 03:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.42%E -5.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 03:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-02-26 02:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-02-26 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-02-26 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-02-26 03:10
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-02-26 03:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-02-26 03:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-02-26 03:09
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-02-26 03:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-02-26 03:10
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-02-26 03:10