La escuela de los momios

Dallas Mavericks v Chicago Bulls

Inicio: 2026-04-13 00:40 UTC

Final: Dallas Mavericks 149–128 Chicago Bulls

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Predicción 63.94%1.56momio equitativo
EV -0.251%
Ventaja -0.161%
Kelly -0.448%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.58%63.98%63.86%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.491.491.5673.53%67.27%67.11%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Bulls (Visitante)

Predicción 36.06%2.77momio equitativo
EV +11.78%
Ventaja +3.80%
Kelly +5.61%
Crecimiento +0.661%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%36.02%36.14%38.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.672.653.1040.82%37.42%37.74%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -13.04%E -9.59%K -36.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +11.78%E +3.80%K +5.61%G +0.661%5.8%2026-04-12 04:35
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV +4.21%E +1.46%K +2.23%G +0.094%2.2%2026-04-12 23:59
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +2.77%E +0.971%K +1.50%G +0.041%4.1%2026-04-13 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +2.77%E +0.971%K +1.50%G +0.041%4.5%2026-04-13 00:20
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.05%E +0.723%K +1.12%G +0.023%3.4%2026-04-13 00:34
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -6.65%E -4.55%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV +1.68%E +0.597%K +0.926%G +0.016%4.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.963%E +0.344%K +0.535%G +0.005%4.7%2026-04-13 00:28
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.839%E -0.305%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.20%E -0.438%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 00:25
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -1.56%E -0.572%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:35
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.92%E -0.706%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:35
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.45%E -2.28%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.28%E -0.842%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 00:35
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -2.28%E -0.842%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:24
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:28
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:09
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:10
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:24
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:34
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:35
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:20
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:28
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:29
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:35
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.65%E -4.55%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.64%E -0.979%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 00:35
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 00:29
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.45%E -2.28%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:23
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:24
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:25
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:24
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:25
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:34
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 00:00
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 00:14
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 23:59
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 00:00
Bet Right1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.45%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 00:24
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:24
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:10
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:14
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:10
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 00:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:24
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:24
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:30
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:30
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:30
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:29
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:25
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 00:29
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.73%E -3.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 00:29
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -0.251%E -0.161%K -0.448%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:25
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.66%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 00:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 65.84%2.93I 34.13%NM 34.16%-0.1%2026-04-13 00:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-04-13 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-04-13 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-13 00:35
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-04-13 00:30
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-13 00:30
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-04-13 00:30
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-04-13 00:35
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-04-13 00:35
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-04-13 00:35